- Oct 2024
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dig.watch dig.watch
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UNGA79 and the ‘Pact for the Future’
It is very AI written.
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The ink on the Pact for the Future was barely dry
cliche
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a global handshake
cliche
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for the unpredictable rhythms of modernity.
Very AI
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The ‘Pact for the Future,’ adopted at the Summit of the Future on 22 September 2024, sets out an ambitious agenda to address climate change, digital transformation, and peace while fostering agile global governance.
There is no reference to AI governance in the first paragraph.
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Gold has soared to a record high of $2,629 per ounce following the US Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut.
What is the connection with Internet economy?
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AI models, including ChatGPT and Cohere, once depended on low-cost workers for basic fact-checking. Today, these models require human trainers with specialised knowledge in medicine, finance, and quantum physics.
This could have been more precise, something like...
From basic fact-checking, AI models, including ChatGPT and Cohere, are shifting towards using more specialised knowledge in fields such as medicine, finance, and quantum physics.
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While South Korean memory giants Samsung Electronics and SK hynix experienced a significant sales increase in China during the first half of this year, the report by the Korea Eximbank Overseas Economic Research Institute indicates that South Korea’s reliance on China for critical semiconductor raw materials is also growing.
Repeating the same point in two parts of the sentence. Probably keep the second part as sufficient.
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a lighthouse – navigating
typical ChatGPT words.
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Moscow’s efforts have focused on supporting Donald Trump and undermining Kamala Harris.
In controversial points. Always indicate whenever you can to the source. Accoridng to... Moscow's efforts....
Or if you do not have resources indicate. Some commentators argue that....
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to leap from the past into an uncertain, but ambitious, tomorrow.
It is very ChatGPT
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www.b92.net www.b92.net
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Fighterbomber
test
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was lost due to the absence of recordings, transcripts, or even note taking.
||sorina|| Sorina, was this the case? What do we have as record of GDC process?
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- Sep 2024
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Everyone makes hundreds of decisions a day, but most of the time they aren’t conscious of the decisions they are making.
Will and choices
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The first is the geostrategic importance of technology – in particular data consuming and content producing technologies (which explains why the US has been so keen to limit the power of China’s TikTok).
One of geopolitial aspects.
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I suspect for instance there will be a lot more civil and corporate legal cases to establish the ownership of data-sets and the access to them by AI engines, as is the case between the New York Times and OpenAI.
copyright over data will come in the focus.
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technology weighs on many public policy debates now – such as the access to mobile phones in schools, the demands that data centres place on electricity grids and the TikTok-ification of politics.
techdiplomacy Technology is in the center of many public policy debates. Thus, it is not surprising that it is getting into conflict with political elites worldwide especially when their interests conflict.
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journals.biologists.com journals.biologists.com
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Productive stupidity means being ignorant by choice. Focusing on important questions puts us in the awkward position of being ignorant. One of the beautiful things about science is that it allows us to bumble along, getting it wrong time after time, and feel perfectly fine as long as we learn something each time. No doubt, this can be difficult for students who are accustomed to getting the answers right. No doubt, reasonable levels of confidence and emotional resilience help, but I think scientific education might do more to ease what is a very big transition: from learning what other people once discovered to making your own discoveries. The more comfortable we become with being stupid, the deeper we will wade into the unknown and the more likely we are to make big discoveries.
Why it could be useful to be stupid sometimes.
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news.ycombinator.com news.ycombinator.com
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Like other comments, I was also initially surprised. But I think the gains are both real and easy to understand where the improvements are coming from.
Is Reflecitons 70B model built on Llama a solution for our fine-tuning of models?
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x.com x.com
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Chain-of-Thought and Self-Reflection are also very simple, and this was built with a SYNTHETIC dataset. Can you imagine if we used people to carefully curate a much better dataset? If we experimented with other forms of CoT, self-reflection, multi-agent reasoning, etc? There are so many things to try, and you don't have to be at OpenAI to try them!
A good idea for development of models.
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link.springer.com link.springer.com
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Imagine a text chunk including a sentence like “Donald Trump says that there should be a wall on the southern border of the US.” The meaning of this sentence could not be understood unless one knows the broader context—such as if Donald Trump was incumbent when he made such a statement. If he was, then the sentence probably conveyed the official stance of the US at that time; otherwise, it would be Mr. Trump’s personal stance. The Manager argued that an RM model—such as the one used by the lab at that time—only conducted semantic searches and could not capture context beyond the text chunk; it might mistake official country stances, retrieve the wrong paragraphs for the chatbot, and lead the user to believe in wrongful answers.
Why context matters?
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The way that the AI reporting system should transform information into knowledge now includes comparing current knowledge to historical knowledge,
Comparing current and historical knowledge.
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It turned out that, to her, the most valuable information would not be what was said this year but what was said this year that was different from all previous years.
One of the key aspects in diplomacy is not what is said but how it is different from what was said last year.
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The AI lab brought in a linguist, who broke down conversations into questions and answers; the linguist taught the AI lab various question types one could pose in a conversation and ways to detect which type they were (rhetorical, open, etc.). The next step was to understand the answers; the AI lab consulted a debater who framed responses in terms of arguments, which were then understood as key points with corresponding supporting facts. Taking in these lessons, the AI lab instructed the reporting system to take each speaker’s paragraphs from a transcript, extract key points and supporting evidence, and present a session summary in this format.
How we deal with the text beyond technology.
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The course team prepares various courses that the Foundation delivers to diplomats or higher-education students. The reporting team takes care of the daily monitoring and updating of digital news and global policy trends on the Foundation’s website; it is also the team that used to provide live coverage of major international events, such as the UN General Assembly (UNGA) and Internet Governance Forum (IGF). The creative lab designs social media campaigns and visuals for all published material. The tech team manages the technical infrastructure, from websites to internal tools and applications, that allows the Foundation to function.
A good summary of Diplo's organisation.
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AI models are not merely machines that solve our problems; they are our imagination of the world and its problems; they are our respective worldviews, personalities, ambitions, and desires reformulated, reconfigured, and translated into codes.
Key paragraph.
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In the Director’s envisioned knowledge management system, the technology product must not be a mere standalone tool but a part of a workflow that processes information
Process - not application.
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The AI reporting system takes an audio-visual recording of a session, transcribes all speakers’ speeches via a transcription model (TM), and then generates summaries of various formats and knowledge graphs based on the transcripts via several summarization models (SMs) and a knowledge-graph generating model (KGGM).
Good summary of reporting model.
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www.diplomacy.edu www.diplomacy.edu
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We recognize the importance of continuing to pursue governance reforms
This is wrnog formulation which already failed sereral of times.
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- Aug 2024
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www.passblue.com www.passblue.com
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Trade provides another example of the failure of multilateral negotiations (Action 5). The WTO (which has replaced UN Trade and Development, or UNCTAD, in this function) has rules that are being willfully ignored. The US has knee-capped the dispute mechanism by refusing to allow the appointment of judges; the world’s largest exporter, China, continues to claim developing-country status and hides information on its trade policies. Global trade negotiations began in 2001 in Doha and died in 2015. Determined multilateralists are calling for WTO reform but there is no sign that the changes will happen. There are echoes here of the ill-fated efforts to change the Security Council.
Why trade negotiations is failing?
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But the COPs have been singularly ineffective for several reasons. One is the UN secretariat’s timidity. It has been far too indulgent to member states in allowing voluntary national targets to reduce carbon emissions. It has permitted petro-states to host COP meetings, like the United Arab Emirates last year and Azerbaijan this year, and it has failed to counter the advocacy by oil and gas interests. Progress is measured by slight adjustments of language in its outcome statements while downplaying actual outcomes in CO2 emissions.
Why COPs are failing in climate change action?
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the First UN of member states — and particularly the veto wielding P3 of Russia, China and the United States — and the Second UN of secretariats.
Two main obstacles for the reform of the UN.
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- Jul 2024
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www.cambridge.org www.cambridge.org
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Respect for human rights, self-determination, territorial integrity, freedom of navigation, democratic governance, free movement of goods, economic openness etc. are important values that may be invoked by a court to assist it in the interpretation of legal rules but they are not rules of law as commonly understood.
Here are rules of rules based order.
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the narrow positivist perception of international law to include soft law, including the standards and recommendations of international standard-setting organizationsFootnote 17 and conferences and rules made by non-state actors.
||sorina|| It is a good text which makes difference between 'rules-based order' and international law.
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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Linguistic research had identified 80,000 “noun synonym sets”, or synsets: groups of synonyms that described the same sort of thing.
||Andrej||||Andrej|| How can we find this 'noun synonym sets'
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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calls the tech giant’s models “open weights”, rather than open source.
||JovanNj||||anjadjATdiplomacy.edu|| What is the difference between 'open weight' and 'open source'
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On one side are the open-source purists in favour of decentralised “little tech”. On the other are closed-source realists who argue that greater centralisation and control are better for safety and national security.
Key argument in debate open vs. close models.
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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Starlink, a satellite-internet firm, could be a stopgap, but regulators have blocked it in at least seven countries including South Africa.
Which are 7 countries?
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Mobile-phone services directly contribute $170bn to Africa’s gdp.
Contribution of mobile to Afirca GDP.
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openai.com openai.com
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We’re testing SearchGPT, a temporary prototype of new AI search features that give you fast and timely answers with clear and relevant sources.
What is the difference between SearchGPT and Bing?
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Impressive AI video generator KLING now available as web version
A new Chinese platform for generating video
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thesequence.substack.com thesequence.substack.com
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a paper introducing OpenDevin, a framework for developing AI agents that interact with environments similar to human programmers.
||JovanNj|| Interesting approach of interaction between AI and programmers.
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It’s OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic vs. Meta, Llama, and xAI. One thing is for certain: open-source big AI is going to be competitive.
Battle between close and open AI
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www.euronews.com www.euronews.com
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A 2009 agreement insisted on by the European Commission meant that Microsoft could not make security changes that would have blocked the update from cybersecurity firm Crowdstrike that caused an estimated 8.5 million computers to fail, the Big Tech giant said in comments to the Wall Street Journal newspaper.
||VladaR||||anastasiyakATdiplomacy.edu|| This is a very interesting move where competition policy and cybersecurity will colide.
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Modi sent his foreign minister, Subrahmanyam Jaishankar, to the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) at its annual meeting in the Kazakhstan capital, Astana, which was also attended by Putin and the Chinese president, Xi Jinping.
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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“expert systems” which used symbolic logic to capture and apply the best of human know-how.
Centrality of expert systems.
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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Amos Hochstein, Joe Biden’s envoy for energy security, hopes that, by redirecting exports to the Atlantic, supply chains will shift decisively westward.
Shift westwards
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claudioschuftan.com claudioschuftan.com
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the work
What work? Drafting texts or?
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Superintelligence (also known as Artificial Super Intelligence, or ASI) is defined much more clearly as an AI having intelligence ‘far surpassing that of the brightest and most gifted human minds’.
Which intelligence of several types of intelligence?
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likely
How likely
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undefined marketing term
Why it is not.
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most people
Who are most people
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www.searchenginejournal.com www.searchenginejournal.com
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simulating reasoning, avoiding hallucinations, and enhancing the capacity to use external tools.
Challenges for AI assistant.
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www.thenewhumanitarian.org www.thenewhumanitarian.org
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Join our community of global citizens empowered by The New Humanitarian’s independent journalism from the heart of crises, conflicts, and disasters.
Membership of New Humanitarian
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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tested this idea by “spiking” (ie, turning up) a feature associated with the Golden Gate Bridge.
||JovanNj||||anjadjATdiplomacy.edu||
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“mechanistic interpretability”.
Machine interprebaility.
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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“lots of different brains looking at the same source at the same time”.
Diplo methodology
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www.waterdiplomat.org www.waterdiplomat.org
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I fully agree with the statement. Water is a critical resource that underpins various sectors of the economy, including agriculture, manufacturing, energy, and cities
||Jovan|| o, we discussed this point. What is XY saying here. It is completely new dyanmis.
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www.aljazeera.com www.aljazeera.com
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The New Popular Front (NFP) coalition led by Melenchon and its allies won a plurality in France’s National Assembly in the second round of the parliamentary elections on Sunday, taking 187 seats in the 577-seat National Assembly, interior ministry figures show.
this is important.
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pubsonline.informs.org pubsonline.informs.org
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negative effects of brokering on brokers and those whose well-being is affected by the activities of brokers
||sorina|| we discussed this yesterday. It is counter-arguemtn to your position.
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a digital factory can stitch together emerging technologies (AI, machine learning, and intelligent automation) with other tools, such as ServiceNow, Salesforce, and SAP, to replace or augment existing processes.
||Jovan|| Combining AI with existing tools.
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This approach led to a much more business and value-focused reporting capability, including:
Advantages of reporting.
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Instead of rushing to use technology to automate existing reports, they asked fundamental questions about what reporting is needed, why, and how they could pivot this set of activities to growth while reducing costs.
||JovanK|| How to revisit existing procedures.
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- Jun 2024
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chat.lmsys.org chat.lmsys.org
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LMSYS Chatbot Arena
How to compare LLMs
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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This constituted 5% of the Indonesian population, a higher casualty rate than among many major belligerents, including the United States (0.3%), Britain (0.9%) and Japan (3.9%).
it is example how opinioneted is Harari. He does not mentione Russia's lost which was 15% beause it is not 'politically correct'.
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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There is a lot of innovation theatre.”
avoid 'innovation theatre'
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For its part, the icrc warns that ai systems are potentially unpredictable, opaque and subject to bias, but accepts they “can facilitate faster and broader collection and analysis of available information…minimising risks for civilians”.
Red Cross views.
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“If…machines produce a lower false positive and false negative rate than humans, particularly under pressure, it would be unethical not to delegate authority,”
Interesting point
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Lavender is likely to be what experts call a decision-support system (dss)
||JovanK||
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ai-apps.diplomacy.edu ai-apps.diplomacy.edu
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Studies also indicate that llms preferentially cite other papers that are highly cited in a field, potentially reinforcing existing biases and limiting creativity
Reinforcing existing biases.
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www.synthesia.io www.synthesia.io
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The Ultimate Guide to Video Aspect Ratio
Video aspect ratio
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www.synthesia.io www.synthesia.io
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Optimize for online viewing
Different formats for viewing files
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www.unesco.org www.unesco.org
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New UNESCO report warns that Generative AI threatens Holocaust memory
||MariliaM|| Hi Marilia, here is UNESCO's report on disinformation and anti-semitism.
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press.vatican.va press.vatican.va
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In a more or less explicit way, this constitutive power dimension of technology always includes the worldview of those who invented and developed it.
||MariliaM|| How to make value-neutral AI development?
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www.aljazeera.com www.aljazeera.com
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the rules, norms and standards
||sorina|| How can we make clear distinction between rules, norms, and standards?
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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“Kafkaesque”, first coined in the late 1930s, has become a label for nightmarish, complex and illogical situations, from government investigations to customer-service lines to nowhere.
What is Kafkaesque situation?
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- May 2024
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medium.com medium.com
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Multiple Vector Databases — Connect to multiple vector databases to enhance Agent performance.
What does it mean?
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Even now, investors are lukewarm about such gambles. In recent weeks they have applauded Google’s capex plan
||VladaR||
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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for as long as there
history of disinformation
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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told the World Economic Forum
Do we have more info about this report?
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In a report released on April 5th, the Threat Intelligence team at Microsoft,
Do we have this report?
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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only four of the 11 countermeasures were widely endorsed in the research literature:
Only disinformation counter-measures that work.
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a technique known as “psychological inoculation” or “pre-bunking”.
To put more information about this approach.
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the Global Engagement Centre, an agency in the us State Department.
Another actor/initiative in this field.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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The “news media bargaining code”, passed in 2021, obliged Google and Facebook to pay news outlets when search results or social-media feeds linked to their articles.
News media bargaining code.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Meta banned access to some websites after Canadian government introduced law for big tech platforms to pay media publishers for content they use. Google agreed to pay. Meta refused. Meta agreed on the similar deal in Australia which they plan to leave (not to renew).
What are a few lessons according to this article: * Single country even of the size of Canada cannot take on big platforms such as Meta. EU may be in position or a grop of countries. * The bigegst victims are small publishers * Canada is trying to use other laws to contain power of Meta such as anti-monopoly rulings (to be considered in our toolkit).
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In future, whenever Meta faces demands for payment, “they will just walk away,” Mr Doub said.
Yes, if they handle single country. But, if there are a few countries it will be different.
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News Media Canada, which supports the new law, is attacking Meta on another front, lodging a complaint with Canada’s competition regulator, arguing that Meta’s link-blocking is an abuse of its dominant position.
Anti-monopoly rulings as part of content policy.
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NewsGuard, a fact-checking organisation, found that “unreliable” sources accounted for 6.9% of engagement with news on Facebook in Canada in the 90 days after the blackout, compared with 2.2% in the 90 days before.
Ban on google increased dis/mis-information.
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Energetic City has signed up 5,000 readers to an email newsletter, built a mobile app and put up posters around town with qr codes leading to its website. “We basically have to reteach our readers how to find the news,”
Retraining users how to find news.
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The law promised “fairness in the Canadian digital-news marketplace”.
Canadian law on digital media
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7amleh.org 7amleh.org
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How does the way the DSA addresses (and differentiates between) hate speech and harmful content impact Palestinian digital rights on major online platforms?
Palestinian rights on platforms.
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As a marketer, Jun was all about making quick decisions and fast iterations. Riley, however, followed the stringent protocols of their production team and was methodical and risk-averse.
Different professional cultures.
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Getting the Innovation Ecosystem Ready for AIAn IP policy toolkit
WIPO AI toolkit
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www.turingpost.com www.turingpost.com
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Evaluating Language Model Capabilities
How to evaluate LLM capabilities?
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The Baader–Meinhof phenomenon is a cognitive bias referring to the tendency to notice something more often after noticing it for the first time, leading to the belief that it has an increased frequency of occurrence.
||minam|| Important congitive bias for dealing with AI.
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hbr.org hbr.org
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Senior executives frequently are too far removed from day-to-day operations to understand what truly needs to change. Consequently, top-down solutions tend to be superficial or at least short-lived. Frontline managers, meanwhile, often lack the contextual understanding to challenge existing processes, and so trim around the edges rather than propose major changes. But midlevel executives tend to have enough experience to see the shortcomings in current operations—and aren’t so close to the ground that they get lost in the weeds.
importance of middle management
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notably, a lack of urgency, insufficient leadership, limited vision, poor communication, and a shortage of “quick wins.”
AI transformation needs these elements It requires 'quick win's.
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hbr.org hbr.org
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Having a crisp mental model around a problem, being able to break it down into steps that are tractable, perfect first-principle thinking, sometimes being prepared (and able to) debate a stubborn AI — these are the skills that will make a great engineer in the future, and likely the same consideration applies to many job categories.
Future set of skills
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the gold standard of learning — personalized tutoring — may be available to everyone.
new educational approach
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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the “rules-based international order”,
typical phrase
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Rarely have international courts been busier.
Busy time for international courts.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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could triple its share of American power consumption by 2030, to 7.5%.
Use of energy by AI
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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“global capability centres”
new terminology.
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www.state.gov www.state.gov
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more action-oriented discussions at the UN on international security issues in cyberspace
||VladaR|| Of relevance for Geneva dialogue.
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In an effort to increase digital solidarity in the realm of foreign assistance, USAID launched the Donor Principles for Human Rights in the Digital Age in partnership with Canada’s International Development Research Centre (IDRC),
||StephanieBP|| This is of relevance for SDC.
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action-oriented discussions
||VladaR|| this is of relevance for Geneva Dialogue.
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Satellite Communication Networks
||sorina|| Something of interest for you
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The Future of AI Technologies Governance
||sorina||||MariliaM|| A good news is that US is focusing on short-term risks.
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Challenges of the Digital Economy
||MariliaM|| Hi Marilia, could you check how US strategy covers digital economy?
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Cyber Attacks and National Security Threats
||VladaR||||AndrijanaG|| Could you analyse this section on cyberseucirty. You can annotate
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The rapid growth of AI technology, however, comes with the significant risk that its use may exacerbate inequality and economic instability, stifle competition, cause consumer harm, aggravate discrimination and bias, invade privacy, enhance malicious cyber activity, and improve authoritarian capabilities for surveillance and repression. AI will challenge how we compensate for the uses of intellectual property as well as authenticate, label, or detect synthetic content. AI may also require workforce adaptations across economies; the rising energy demands of high-end AI chips and data centers could become a significant barrier to developing local capabilities.
||sorina|| Good summary of AI governance issues.
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Digital solidarity is a willingness to work together on shared goals, to help partners build capacity, and to provide mutual support.[1] Digital solidarity recognizes that all who use digital technologies in a rights-respecting manner are more secure, resilient, self-determining, and prosperous when we work together to shape the international environment and innovate at the technological edge. Central to the tenets of digital solidarity are efforts to support allies and partners, especially emerging economies, to fully seize the opportunities presented by new technologies and sustainably pursue their economic and development goals. Digital solidarity aligns U.S. national interests with those of our international partners through compatible approaches to technology governance, sustains strong partnerships with civil society and the private sector, and embraces cybersecurity resilience built on a diversity of products and services made by trusted technology vendors. It highlights the mutual support that the United States and its partners offer one another to counter and respond to malicious cyber operations, cybercrime, and other digital harms, and promotes cooperative efforts among states and civic actors to defend and advance human rights. In addition, the concept of digital solidarity rests on efforts to build digital and cyber capacity so that partners are not only better able to build a defensible and resilient digital ecosystem over the long term but are also able to respond and recover quickly when incidents that threaten security, safety, and rights happen. The actions and efforts of this strategy are intended to demonstrate and build digital solidarity with partners across the globe.
Definition of digital solidirity
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the October 2022 National Security Strategy (NSS)
Basis is national security approach
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working together to offer mutual assistance to the victims of malicious cyber activity and other digital harms; assist partners – especially emerging economies – in deploying safe, secure, resilient, and sustainable technologies to advance their development goals; and builds strong and inclusive innovation economies that can shape our economic and technological future.
What is digital solidarity?
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to build digital solidarity
New concept in global lingo ||sorina|| ||Pavlina|| ||VladaR|| ||StephanieBP||
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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a subtle difference in their meaning
Difference between disinformation and misinfomration: dis - intentionally, mis-unintationally.
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The vocabulary of disinformation
A good dictionary of disinformation.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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First is “placement”, or the initial posting of the lie.
Three phases of placement of fake news.
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- Apr 2024
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www.aljazeera.com www.aljazeera.com
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the Israeli government is split.
||sorina|| follows on our discusion
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Excellent statistics on development assistance.
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AidData
||minam|| Another relevant data.
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“true multilateralism” where “universal security” replaced “universal values”
||VladaR|| Core changes in multilateral language.
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It has built an index of states’ power from 1960 to 2022.
To be consulted by our data team. ||minam||
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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It is also claimed that the IDF would be willing to risk killing 15-20 civilians in order to strike a Hamas fighter. For Hamas battalion or brigade commanders, that number rose to more than 100 civilians.
Tolerable number of humans killed.
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But in 2016 Heather Roff and Richard Moyes, then writing for Article 36, a non-profit focused on the issue, cautioned that a person “simply pressing a ‘fire’ button in response to indications from a computer, without cognitive clarity or awareness”, does not meaningfully qualify as “human control”.
||VladaR|| Critical aspect for 'human control'
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001React App14
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Detailed summary of AI and intellectual property rights. ||Jovan||
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the eu ’s directive on digital copyright was passed in 2019, when generative AI was not a thing. “There is no way the Europeans would pass [such a directive] today,” says Mr Sag.
Why not?
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Tennessee last month passed the Ensuring Likeness Voice and Image Security ( ELVIS ) Act, banning unauthorised deepfakes in the state.
||Jovan|| about deepfakes
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A number of news publishers have reached a similar conclusion
Here are various 'Ask approaches'.
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A survey of media executives in 56 countries by the Reuters Institute found that 48% expected there to be “very little” money from AI licensing deals.
Pessimistic about licencing deals
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Shutterstock, a photo library, has licensed its archive to both Open AI and Meta, the social-media empire that is pouring resources into AI . Reddit and Tumblr, online forums, are reportedly licensing their content to AI firms as well.
Position of different cmpanies.
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Partners so far include the Associated Press, Axel Springer (owner of Bild and Politico), Le Monde and Spain’s Prisa Media.
Deals between OpenAI and media houses.
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Outside America, the legal climate is mostly harsher for tech firms.
||Jovan|| Survey of copyright law in various jurisdicitons.
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The lawyering is now happening.
||Jovan|| Major court cases.
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tech firms are again seeking forgiveness rather than permission
Classical approach
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Common Crawl,
Company that scraps the Internet.
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the model learns by trial and error how tokens are normally combined.
||Jovan|| Good point how AI learns.
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“They have created an amazing edifice that’s built on a foundation of sand.”
Good point
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AI s are trained on vast quantities of human-made work
||Andrej|| Please follow-up on this. It is relevant for our course for Kuwait and their linguistical projects.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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In 2022 he proposed a framework called “Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture” ( JEPA ),
||JovanNj||||anjadjATdiplomacy.edu|| What is this technology about?
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Andrej Karpathy, a researcher formerly at Open AI , explained in a recent talk that current LLM s are only capable of “system 1” thinking. In humans, this is the automatic mode of thought involved in snap decisions. In contrast, “system 2” thinking is slower, more conscious and involves iteration.
||Jovan|| Is not it opposite of AI having access to 'system 2'
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Since 2017 most AI models have used a type of neural-network architecture known as a transformer (the “ T ” in GPT ), which allowed them to establish relationships between bits of data that are far apart within a data set.
||Jovan|| Transformes is linking data which are far apart within a data set.
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When the LLM is in its learning phase, it compares its predictions against the version of reality available in its training data. If these diverge, the algorithm makes small tweaks to each layer of the network to improve future predictions. That makes it computationally intensive and incremental.
||Jovan|| How AI is learning.
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Companies like Scale AI and Surge AI have built large networks of people to generate and annotate data, including P h D researchers solving problems in maths or biology. One executive at a leading AI startup estimates this is costing AI labs hundreds of millions of dollars per year.
||Jovan|| Check these companies as interesting data model for annotations.
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The main points from this article - start of Llama3 - high-quality textual data will run dry from the Internet in 2026 - development of 'multimodal' capabilities. - SaleAI and SurgeAI are doing annotations - life is more compelx from clear-cut decisions.
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Epoch AI , a research outfit, estimates the well of high-quality textual data on the public internet will run dry by 2026.
Need for smart data.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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flow of information and energy are critical for global economy. In this field there are battles between China and USA. this battle will affect global economy for 1.2% of globagl GDP.
China leads in EVs and green eocnomy, while it is weak in chipmaking. US export control seems to slow.
Next battle will be in quantum and sensing technologies.
A Summary: The ongoing tech wars between the United States and China, which began during the Trump administration and continue under Joe Biden, are having significant global implications. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates that the elimination of high-tech trade between the two countries could cost as much as $1 trillion annually, equivalent to 1.2% of global GDP. The battles are primarily taking place in the chipmaking and green technology sectors.
The US is actively encouraging the expansion of chip production within its borders, providing subsidies to companies like Taiwan's TSMC and South Korea's Samsung. It also maintains high tariffs on Chinese solar panels and electric vehicles (EVs). China, on the other hand, has become a global leader in green technology with companies like Longi, CATL, and BYD, but it faces obstacles in the chipmaking industry due to US restrictions on chipmaking technology imports.
While the focus has recently been on app-related disputes, such as pressuring Chinese owners to sell platforms and removing certain apps from app stores, the real battle lies in the control of chipmaking and energy technologies. The risks and consequences of this tech war are significant, including a potential loss of focus on critical areas, strained relationships with Japan and Europe, slower economic growth, and the potential fragmentation of global information and energy-technology industries.
The Biden administration has followed a relatively predictable approach to China and technology, but a more aggressive campaign by the Trump administration could lead to worse outcomes for all parties involved. It is crucial to monitor the shifting dynamics of the tech wars, the impact on chipmaking and green technology sectors, and the potential consequences on the global economic landscape.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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The Senate requested Tik-Tok to be sold by ByteDance. China's government, who is shareholder by ByteDance, refused to seel shares.
TikTok will challenge the Senate's decisions in the court on the basis of the First Amendment and freedon of spreech.
The result of this challenge will have two major impacts: - content governance of other social media platforms; - follow-up by other countries who are likely to follow US example as, for example, Europe did in the case of Huawei and chip-export.
||Jovan||
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www.theopedproject.org www.theopedproject.org
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Op-ed Writing: Tips and Tricks
Tips for op-ed writing
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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The Israeli-Palestinian publication +972 Magazine and Hebrew-language media outlet Local Call reported recently that the Israeli army was isolating and identifying thousands of Palestinians as potential bombing targets using an AI-assisted targeting system called Lavender.
Source
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Useful text on AI in meetings.
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financefeeds.com financefeeds.com
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Nigerian officials are kicking off legal proceedings against Binance and two of its senior executives, accusing them of money laundering and tax evasion.
||ArvinKamberi|| Arvine evo teksta o Binance i Nigeriji.
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- Mar 2024
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Meta’s recent decision to shut down Facebook News, which was a source of revenues for many content providers, as potentially hurting the economics of the news industry, thus lowering the quality of journalism and, by extension, undermining the political process.
Attack on journalism
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TTD has rolled out an alternative open-source technology, known as Unified ID 2.0 ( UID 2), that it hopes will improve on cookies as an industry standard.
Highly relevant standard.
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techamb.um.dk techamb.um.dk
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The TechPlomacy Approach
Description of Techplomacy
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001React App16
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||Jovan|| Here is a good summary of the current developments in cryptocurrency. It is a bit PR, but it provides a useful overall summary. A few questions for us: - Does DW covers these developments? - Is there anything we can do to follow systematically this field as WSJ indicates or Atlantic Council presents effectively https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/cbdctracker/
Soruce of article: https://deloitte.wsj.com/riskandcompliance/decentralized-finance-may-transform-how-money-is-managed-b443f30e?mod=Deloitte_riskcomp_wsjarticle10_eNL_SSFY24
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Central Bank Digital Currency Tracker – Atlantic Council
Excellent link https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/cbdctracker/
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regulatory uncertainties
Key aspects.
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With tokenization and programmable money, transactions can be executed instantly, anytime, and from anywhere.
What about national regulations?
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It could significantly enhance payroll processes, providing a way to compensate people on a more ongoing or recurring basis, such as per job for gig workers or per day for salaried workers.
Payment for micro-activites.
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These assets can include securities, loans, public and private funds, hedge funds and money markets, private equity, environmental credits, real estate, commodities, ownership rights, voting rights, and content licensing.
What can be tokenized?
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The Internal Revenue Service has also developed guidance on digital assets, treating them as property for federal tax purposes.
It is critical that cryptoassets can be taxed.
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130 jurisdictions globally are either launching, piloting, developing, or researching central bank digital currencies (CBDCs),
||ArvinKamberi||||minam|| This could be an intteresting map.
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Crypto-Assets Regulation
Do we have this regulation?
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provided comprehensive guidance for how authorities can address the macroeconomic and financial stability risks
Do we have this documents?
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“Supercharging the way money is used suggests new risks and benefits, and the rapid acceleration of AI could help accelerate the adoption of digital assets.”
Combining blockchain and AI.
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The permissioned blockchain is designed to provide interoperability and control for powering synchronized financial markets to enable secure, controlled exchanges of data and value.
Exchange of tokens
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blockchain, smart contracts, and the tokenization of assets.
Technologies behind this shift.
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commercial adoption, regulation, and tokenization,
Major processes
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Numerous countries are setting in place regulatory frameworks
||ArvinKamberi|| Do we have survey of current regulations and processes per country? Do we have, for example, world map with indication of countries that adopted regulations of bitcoin, etc.?
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they have the potential to replace certain services that today are provided by intermediaries such as banks, stock exchanges, or brokers.
Where are we today with promisses of blockchain technologies?
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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One solution would be for countries to work together, to learn from each other and create minimum global standards.
Role for WHO.
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The Summit of the Future in 2024 is an opportunity to agree on multilateral solutions for a better tomorrow, strengthening global governance for both present and future genera-tions
@jovan This is important to know
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www.cyber-risk-gmbh.com www.cyber-risk-gmbh.com
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Cyber security training for the Board of Directors
Useful offer
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www.cyber-risk-gmbh.com www.cyber-risk-gmbh.com
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Useful corporate impressium
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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The more serious problem is that Iran’s and Russia’s economies are too similar to be natural trading partners. Of the top 15 categories of goods that each exports, nine are shared; ten of their 15 biggest imports are also the same.
How to view economic complementarity.
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Iranian and Russian ministers have revived negotiations to extend the International North-South Transport Corridor ( INSTC ), a 7,200km route connecting Russia to the Indian Ocean via Iran.
Important route for expert from Rssia.
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Last July Iran became the ninth member of the Shanghai Co-operation Organisation,
Participation of Iran in various regional cooperations.
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In December imports of Russian crude reached 2.2m b/d, or 19% of China’s total, from 1.5m b/d two years ago. In the second half of last year, Iran’s exports to China averaged 1m b/d, a 150% rise from the same period in 2021.
increase of oil export to China.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Experts expect some inference to start moving from specialist graphics-processing units ( GPU s), which are Nvidia’s forte, to general-purpose central processing units ( CPU s)
||JovanNj||||aleksandarsATdiplomacy.edu|| Kako ce se ovo desiti?
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A good summary of tech industry according to the layers.
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Third, and most important, big tech has the greatest potential to control every layer of the stack, from chips to applications.
Real power of tech companies.
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Hippocratic AI , has trained its model on data from exams to enter medical school, to give accurate medical advice.
Hippocratic AI
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Nixtla developed Time GPT , a model for financial forecasting.
financial forecast
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to respond to queries (“inference”, in tech-speak)
||sorina|| 'Inference' is 'query' in tech speak.
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deliverypdf.ssrn.com deliverypdf.ssrn.com
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||sorina||||MariliaM|| Here is an interesting article on Pope's Message on AI arguing that antrophocentrism created a lot of distortion in adopting technology. We have to discover ourselves and 'others' in order to deal properly with technology. ||Jovan||
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Asking yourself what the world will be like tomorrow means asking yourself what youwant and decide to do today.
||Jovan||||anitalATdiplomacy.edu|| For our course on future
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the expression was coined to be catchy andvague, as John McCarthy, its creator, tells us.
Whi even term artificial intelligence is misleading
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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AI study of corner kicks.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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An excellent studies of the limits of counter-intuitive answers to economic and societal problems.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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A ban on TikTok could open the door to many of these apps being consigned to the digital dustbin.
Chinese apps in USa may follow similar develpment
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The 30 biggest Chinese video-game makers account for 18% of the industry’s global sales outside China.
Chinese share of video-gaming market.
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The firm that makes them, Joyy, is based in Singapore, just like TikTok.
Most Chinese tech companies are based in Singapore.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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“ AI factories”,
||sorina|| New terminology in EU is 'AI factory'
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n 2018 the EU launched Euro HPC , a bloc-wide project to expand number-crunching capacity. The outfit is set to spend nearly €8bn ($8.7bn) between 2018 and 2027 on a dozen or so new supercomputers.
EU's high computing facility. ||sorina|| It could be follow-up to our presentaiton to College of Europe.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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46% of Chinese get their news from short-video apps such as Douyin, the domestic form of TikTok which has about 740m active monthly users (China’s population is 1.4bn).
Survey of Chinese social media market
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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the Congo canyon
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Just five submarine cables (including one under construction) run up Africa’s west coast between South Africa and Nigeria. Three of these were knocked offline on March 14th.
Major disruption
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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||VladaR|| Ukraine war was somehow off the media focus. Here is a good summary what is going on currently.
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