- Mar 2024
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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The 30 biggest Chinese video-game makers account for 18% of the industry’s global sales outside China.
Chinese share of video-gaming market.
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The firm that makes them, Joyy, is based in Singapore, just like TikTok.
Most Chinese tech companies are based in Singapore.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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“ AI factories”,
||sorina|| New terminology in EU is 'AI factory'
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n 2018 the EU launched Euro HPC , a bloc-wide project to expand number-crunching capacity. The outfit is set to spend nearly €8bn ($8.7bn) between 2018 and 2027 on a dozen or so new supercomputers.
EU's high computing facility. ||sorina|| It could be follow-up to our presentaiton to College of Europe.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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46% of Chinese get their news from short-video apps such as Douyin, the domestic form of TikTok which has about 740m active monthly users (China’s population is 1.4bn).
Survey of Chinese social media market
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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the Congo canyon
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Just five submarine cables (including one under construction) run up Africa’s west coast between South Africa and Nigeria. Three of these were knocked offline on March 14th.
Major disruption
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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||VladaR|| Ukraine war was somehow off the media focus. Here is a good summary what is going on currently.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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A good summary of tech industry according to the layers.
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Third, and most important, big tech has the greatest potential to control every layer of the stack, from chips to applications.
Real power of tech companies.
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Hippocratic AI , has trained its model on data from exams to enter medical school, to give accurate medical advice.
Hippocratic AI
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Nixtla developed Time GPT , a model for financial forecasting.
financial forecast
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to respond to queries (“inference”, in tech-speak)
||sorina|| 'Inference' is 'query' in tech speak.
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Technological breakthroughs tend to elevate new tech giants.
Each technological breakthrough raised some companies.
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We examined
Four layers of AI companies.
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to get a sense of which businesses are real winners in the AI boom
Important for anchoring AI developments in reality.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Nvidia’s AI chips, also known as graphics processor units ( GPU s) or “accelerators”, were initially designed for video games.
||sorina|| This paragraph explains well Nvidia's AI chps.
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Since January 2023 the chipmaker’s share price has surged by almost 450%.
Search of Nvidia's shares.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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could be considered a Hindu. Jains and Buddhists could be. But Muslims and Christians, as adherents of “non-Indic” religions, could not be part of the Hindu nation unless they renounced their faith.
Who are Hindu?
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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He says the mightiest Blackwell system, known pithily as GB 200 NVL 72, can train a model larger than Chat GPT using about a quarter as much electrical power as the best available processors.
Saving electricity
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Moreover, Nvidia’s larger integrated systems contain around 600,000 components, many of which come from China.
Risk of China-USA tensions.
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Crucially, they will rely on (mostly rented) Nvidia GPU s, further tying customers into the firm’s hardware-software ecosystem.
Locing users with software-hardware
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It believes that many businesses will soon move on from toying with Chat GPT to deploying their own gen AI s.
Push for bottom-up AI
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“accelerated-computing”,
||sorina|| It is a new term.
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By contrast, computinghardware has a finite throughput: if one actor is using some computing power, anotheractor cannot use that same computing power at the same time
||sorina|| following questons during GDC training, it seems to be relevant answer.
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Concentration of the AI Chip Supply Chain
useful graphics as illustration of development of micro-processors.
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The recent advances in Chinese chipmakingcapacity, such as the fabrication of a 7nm chip25for Huawei phones (Liu 2023) haveincreased concerns about the controls accelerating China’s progress towards AI chipsupply chain independence and thus diminishing U.S. capacity to control access tocompute.
There are two theories: one that China should have kept inderdependent and integrated in global market. second is of export-control which prevailed.
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The three keytechnical inputs to producing AI capabilities are data, algorithms, and compute, alsoreferred to as the “AI triad”
AI triad
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First, governance of computecan help increase regulatoryvisibilityinto AI capabilities and use; second, it can steerAI progress by changing theallocationof resources toward safe and beneficial usesof AI; third, it can enhanceenforcementof prohibitions against reckless or maliciousdevelopment or use.
There area of governance of Ai computing.
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Relative to other key inputs to AI (data andalgorithms), AI-relevant compute is a particularly effective point of intervention: it isdetectable,excludable, andquantifiable, and is produced via an extremelyconcentrated supply chain.
it is easy to detect.
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Project managers will not be going away, but they will need to embrace these changes and take advantage of the new technologies.
Future roles of project managers.
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Because AI is ignorant of silos, knows no boundaries within the company, has no limits to its reading capacity or attention span, and is immune from internal politics, it can enable strategic intelligence staff — including those working in marketing intelligence, strategy, and strategic management accounting — to breach a company’s internal knowledge walls.
Ai as tool for overcoming silos.
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to real-time inference of otherwise hidden information about a company from publicly disclosed documents such as annual reports, quarterly financials, press releases, statements, and social media posts.
How to identify 'hidden infomration'
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“Is there any statement of strategic relevance for the company XYZ in the following paragraph?
Prompt
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to Uncover Hidden Information
how to uncover hidden information.
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AI can become the watchful eye that spots useful insights in the field of competitive intelligence.
Termi is 'competitive intelligence'.
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growing problem of information overload regarding markets and competitors,
AI can help finding relevant information in a lot of information.
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hbr.org hbr.org
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AI is great at identifying patterns and providing predictions for well-formulated problems, but it fails to practice emotional intelligence and exercise moral or ethical judgment.
What is AI good at?
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hbr.org hbr.org
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to balance privacy with security, trust with safety, helpfulness with respect for others’ autonomy, and, of course, values with short-term financial metrics.
Trade-offs
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Norbert Wiener, the father of cybernetics, proposed a similar idea in a seminal 1960 Science article, launching an entire academic discipline focused on ensuring that automated tools incorporate the values of their creators.
Start of AI and ethics
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Overanalyzing
How to do overanalysing?
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Rumination is best described as a mental loop where you dwell on past events, particularly negative or distressing ones.
Wht is rumintion?
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Teams in the experimental groups could use ChatGPT during both ideation phases, and they were encouraged to train the tool on the problem by inputting material from the information sheets.
How to generate ideas?
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problem–centric, people–first, and principle–driven.
3P APPROACH
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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The snail’s pace of research and publishing is badly suited to Silicon Valley’s speed.
It is also about books and writing.
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is both an insider and an outsider.
Like Diplo with diplomacy.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Qatar and the UAE increased
Increase of diplomatic missions.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Western diplomacy must seek to counter Russian disinformation across the global south.
||VladaR|| Most of EU projects on digital/tech will be along these lines. It will be tricky time to preserve neutrality.
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If the West tried to use secondary sanctions to force the world to comply, it would backfire, leading some countries to abandon the American-led financial system.
Risk of sanctoins
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Russia’s economy has been re-engineered. Oil exports bypass sanctions and are shipped to the global south. Western brands from bmw to h&m have been replaced with Chinese and local substitutes. In textbooks and the media a seductive narrative of nationalism and Russian victimhood is promulgated.
Russia's survival formula
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Christopher Myers of Johns Hopkins University is a fan of informal storytelling as a way of passing on tacit knowledge.
The best way to pass tacit knowledge
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Working alongside experienced colleagues is the best way to transfer tacit knowledge but it is not always possible.
The bet way to capture knowledge is through cognitive proximity.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Startups and corporations are already designing software to make it easy to switch between Open AI ’s current top model, GPT -4, and alternatives.
Important to be ready to switch between different platforms.
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In January America’s Federal Trade Commission launched an antitrust probe into Open AI ’s deal with Microsoft. Regulators in Britain and the EU are considering similar moves.
First anti-trust moves agains OpenAI
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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If the probability distribution of the words is flat, ie many words have similar likelihoods of being chosen, this means that there is less certainty as to which is most likely.
||Jovan|| What is this about?
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One solution is retrieval augmented generation ( RAG ), which splits the job of the AI model into two parts: retrieval and generation
||Jovan|| Good description of RAG
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This is a later stage of training in which the model’s weights, which encode statistical relationships between the words and phrases in the training data, are updated for a specific task
Important of weights.
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he fundamental problem is that language models are probabilistic, while truth is not.
good point
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Many countries are more than happy to play both sides—receiving Chinese investment and intermediate goods, and exporting finished products to America.
Position of many countries.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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On February 20th Silo AI , a Finnish firm, unveiled a new LLM that is even more open than Mistral’s, furnishing information about the data on which it is trained and the software that did the job.
||JovanNj|| Anything on this model?
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to divulge its data recipe
||sorina|| It seems that battle was not around open-source but around data provisions.
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This places them among the 100 or so people worldwide who really know how to train cutting-edge models.
Is only 100 people? ||JovanNj||
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“It’s no longer about being bigger—it’s about being creative and being fast,”
Key for AI developments.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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in establishing an internal “data and analytics culture”, which plenty of businesses find stubbornly difficult to nurture.
Important aspect of AI impact on data culture
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three big categories: window-dressing, tools for workers with low to middling skills, and those for a firm’s most valuable employees.
3 types of use cases.
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more than 300 AI use cases in production today”
What is AI use cases? It seems to be terminology 'use cases' ||JovanNj||||dusandATdiplomacy.edu||
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n February only about 5% of American firms of all sizes said they used AI . A further 7% of firms plan to adopt it within six months (see chart).
Little use of AI in businesses.
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According to a recent survey from the Boston Consulting Group ( BCG ), a majority of executives said it will take at least two years to “move beyond the hype” around AI .
2 years to move beyond hype.
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The spread of the typewriter put some workers out of a job: “With the aid of this little machine an operator can accomplish more correspondence in a day than half a dozen clerks can with the pen, and do better work,” said an observer in 1888.
Observation about use of typewritter.
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www.tortoisemedia.com www.tortoisemedia.com
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The Global AI Index is underpinned by 111 indicators, collected from 28 different public and private data sources, and 62 governments. These are split across seven sub-pillars: Talent, Infrastructure, Operating Environment, Research, Development, Government Strategy and Commercial.
Elements for AI analysis
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www.blog.aiport.tech www.blog.aiport.tech
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However, in our research, we found 35 countries who have made any significant stride in GenAI ever.
Geography of AI
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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TikTok has also injected welcome competition into the social-media market. Six of last year’s ten most-downloaded apps came from Meta, Facebook’s owner. TikTok, which beat them to the top spot, has brought in a wave of innovation. Consumers everywhere are the winners.
||sorina|| An interesting economic angle to Tik-Tok saga from the Economist. We will see if security of economic angle will prevail ultimately. This is also battle between geopolitics and geoeconomics. TikTok saga is more important than simple market access issue.
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True, it hoovers up users’ data. But there is no evidence that it takes more than it claims (or indeed more than rivals such as Facebook).
||MariliaM|| an interesting comment from the Economist
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carduelis.medium.com carduelis.medium.com
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if ministers took all the advice offered on the National Tutoring Service, accepted it fully, and then it failed, the blame would rest firmly on the civil servants offering that advice.
failure of advice.
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Political impartiality has been a key principle of the civil service since the famous Northcote-Trevelyan report of 1854, the foundation document for the way civil servants should be appointed and should operate once in post.
Relevance of UK civil service to the UN.
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www.ycombinator.com www.ycombinator.com
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Explainable AI
Explainable AI
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- Feb 2024
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“tea” and “sea” would be farther apart because they have dissimilar meanings and are not used together often, even though they have similar spelling.
They are not used often together.
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www.elastic.co www.elastic.co
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Types of vector embeddings
What type of embedding we have in our vector database: word, sentence or document. Could we have embedding of all three?
||JovanNj|| ||anjadjATdiplomacy.edu||
Tags
Annotators
URL
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www.thegenevaobserver.com www.thegenevaobserver.com
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||sorina|| End of one era or CERN and Geneva. It never happened in the worst time o the Cold War that scientists were sanctioned.
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Read the texts themselves: Seneca, Caesar, or Marcus Aurelius, when possible.
Important
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press.un.org press.un.org
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By that text, titled “Promotion of inclusive and effective international tax cooperation at the United Nations” (document A/C.2/78/L.18/Rev.1), the Assembly would stress that efforts in international tax cooperation should be universal in approach and scope and fully consider the different needs and capacities of all States, in particular developing countries and countries in special situations. The Committee approved it by a recorded vote of 125 in favour to 48 against, with 9 abstentions (Armenia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Iceland, Mexico, Norway, Peru, Türkiye, United Arab Emirates).
Vote on drafting UN Taxation Treaty.
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taxjustice.net taxjustice.net
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Following the UN Secretary-General’s report earlier this year highlighting the exclusionary nature of the OECD’s tax work, however, we now see a most welcome formal challenge.
Interesting document
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www.thenewhumanitarian.org www.thenewhumanitarian.org
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by despite the tendency for multi-stakeholder processes to water things down”
||sorina|| it is interesting aspect that multi-stakeholder processes are used to water things down.
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www.searchenginejournal.com www.searchenginejournal.com
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a free Assistant in ChatGPT called AI Diagrams.
||Jovan||
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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one common definition of weight is the importance given to individual input features when training a machine learning model
What is exactly weight? There are two explanatons in this paragraph. ||JovanNj||||anjadjATdiplomacy.edu||
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deliverypdf.ssrn.com deliverypdf.ssrn.com
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Factors such as the intense US-China tech rivalry and the escalating chip embargo on Chinese AI firms further diminish the government’s incentive to impose strict regulation.
||MariliaM|| This article discusses AI governance in China. It has linkages between digital and security as you are focusing on.
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hai.stanford.edu hai.stanford.edu
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distributing power, catalyzing innovation, and ensuring transparency
Three reasons for open source AI.
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n the EU, open foundation models trained with fewer than 1025floating point operations (a measure of the amount of compute expended) appear to be exempted under the recently negotiated AI Act.
EU AI Act on open source foundational models.
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rethinkpriorities.org rethinkpriorities.org
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For each key finding below, more granular response categories are presented in the main text, along with demographic breakdowns of interest.
Why America was afraid of AI in Spring 2023.
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llamaindex_agentic_rag.ipynb
Can we experiment with this method?
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docs.mistral.ai docs.mistral.ai
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LangChain and LlamaIndex.
Are we using any of these methods?
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a time-weighted approach would help us retrieve the most recent document.
Can we use this for updates, courses, blog posts?
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we use list comprehension to get text embeddings for all text chunks.
||anjadjATdiplomacy.edu|| does it mean that we get at the end one vectoral value or whole text (not only text chunk).?
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it is crucial to split the document into smaller chunks so that it's more effective to identify and retrieve the most relevant information in the retrieval process later.
Can we split it into smaller chanks? Ideally it should be on the level of sentence or paragraph in the text. Can we use some of HTML markers/code to identify beinning/end of para or sentence.
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techpolicy.press techpolicy.press
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The Act takes a “risk approach”, i.e. it conditions intervention on the basis of the expected “risk” of the application – but not a market power approach.
EU AI Act ignores market power risks.
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Customers don't want to go to two places to find information and get answers.
||Jovan|| ||JovanNj|| ||anjadjATdiplomacy.edu|| Why our ChatBot may provide this integrated access to information (search + AI)
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o promoting digital skills along the entire education chain
Focus on education.
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to counteract the possible leakage of critical technologies and knowledge.
This is 'Chinese norm'
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with our values and interests.
A strong focus on 'our' in values and interests. It remains to be seen if 'others' relate to those who have different values and itnerests (but not confrontational) or only to those who directly oppose 'our' values and interests. It will be key distinction in this 'value-based' approach. Does it include cooperation with China?
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improving geo-redundancy.
Interesting new concept. What would it mean in practice?
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the expansion and protection of submarine data cables, terrestrial optical fibres and new satellite constellations
Critical infrastructure.
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democratic partners
is there any indication of criteria (e.g. elections, free press)? Is there any list of those partners?
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also
It opens the space for other format such as multilateral (unlike previously mentioned digital networking).
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innovative, secure, trustworthy, human-centric and sustainable artificial intelligence (AI).
to follow this phrase in AI debates. It could emerge as 5-pillars slogan for AI governance.
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in particular through our cooperation in ‘Team Europe’.
Does it mean that cooperation with Africa, and the neighbours will be more pushed via EU-channels, including 'Team Europe'?
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we are enhancing bilateral cooperation with partners who share our values and who are important political, economic and regulatory players in the digital sphere.
Is this AND or OR condition between two elements: - 'share our values' - important players
For example, does China fit into this criterioon?
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We consider the multi-stakeholder approach essential for global digital networking.
What is 'global digital networking'? Is it cybersecurity as well? What about AI?
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We want to avoid duplicate structures, which make a broad-based and inclusive participation of stakeholders in international bodies harder
Highly relevant link between duplucate structire as a way that prevent inclusive participation.
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economic interdependencies in the area of digitalization do not adversely affect our security.
An interesting interplay between interdependence and security with a possible shift closer to security.
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Especially in the Global South, standards can be a way to remove obstacles to development, promote innovations and stimulate economic growth in a sustainable manner.
It is the far-fetched link. Standards can be useful. But, developing countries have so many other obstacles (access, funding) apart from standards.
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We advocate for corresponding binding rules on digital trade at international level. Moreover, we support the efforts of the EU with regard to rules on digital trade, in particular in trade agreements. We are coordinating closely with the other EU Member States and the European Commission in international negotiations. We also take into account the challenges faced by the countries of the Global South.
Interesting! There is no mention of WTO e-commerce negotiations explicitly which was a pillar of Germany's e-commerce and data policies. Does Germany follow US shift away from data negotiations in WTO? It can be followed by statements during WTO Ministerial conference.
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he FAIR principle (findable, accessible, interoperable, reusable) for data.
to be further analysed
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the concept of Data Free Flow with Trust (DFFT)
to be further analysed
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We are promoting broad-based options for participation in order to make digital policy decision-making processes and digital participation as inclusive as possible.
A possible support of Diplo?
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This includes our commitment in the G7, the Group of Twenty (G20), the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the Global Partnership on Artificial Intelligence (GPAI), the Council of Europe, the World Trade Organization (WTO), international financial institutions such as the World Bank and the UN, including the ITU. We coordinate closely with the other EU Member States and the European Commission.
Key global partners of Germany.
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net neutrality is an overriding principle in the Internet ecosystem.
Almost forgotten concept.
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or a global, open, free and secure Internet
We should monitor how many countries use this 4-pillar phrase in their strategies, speeches, etc.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Russia also ranked 38th out 193 countries in the latest AI -readiness index by Oxford Insights, a consultancy; America came first.
||sorina|| ||Jovan||
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Yandex, Russia’s search giant, has integrated an LLM , Yandex GPT -2, into its virtual-assistant service, known as “Alice”.
||JovanNj|| Alice - Russian GPt. Do they have API?
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dig.watch dig.watch
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as well as clarifying the principles and norms under which various organizations should operate.
Deos it mean that it will instruct ITU, UNESCO about princples and norms?
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A ‘distributed-CERN’ reimagined for AI, networked across diverse states and regions, could expand opportunities for greater involvement
CERN is already distributed.
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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Chaos theory is about systems where small changes to the initial conditions result in extremely large changes in the results.
Problem with predicitons
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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Flood watches remained in place for nearly 40 million people.
||sorina|| Could you check if this sentence is of relevance for you.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Sometimes referred to as data-centre alley, northern Virginia is home to just over three square kilometres of data centres, most of which are within 75 square kilometres in Loudoun County.
||sorina|| Here is relevan paragraph for you.
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Because AI is based on matrix maths, it involves large blocks of computation being done at once, which means a lot of transistors have to change states very quickly. That draws a lot more power than normal computer tasks, which flip far fewer transistors at once for a typical calculation.
Why AI takes more energy?
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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However, it warned the cables at some points run at a depth of 100 metres, reducing the need for hi-tech submarines. In 2013, three divers were arrested in Egypt for attempting to cut an undersea cable near the port of Alexandria that provides much of the internet capacity between Europe and Egypt.
This is a problem with cables ||sorina||
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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for the first time
||AndrijanaG||||sorina|| Was it adopted for the first time?
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its own Global AI Governance Initiative in October, calling on major powers to take “a prudent and responsible attitude” on military use of artificial intelligence technologies.
Do we have t
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the Political Declaration on the Responsible Military Use of Artificial Intelligence and Autonomy a year ago.
||sorina||||VladaR||||MariliaM|| Do we have anything on this declartion?
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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A paper by Rebecca Johnson, a researcher at the University of Sydney, published in 2022, found that Chat GPT -3 gave replies on topics such as gun control and refugee policy that aligned most with the values displayed by Americans in the World Values Survey, a global questionnaire of public opinion.
To be checked
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Firms in countries that have not signed on to the American export-control regime, like Singapore, can buy chips and send them on to Chinese entities without the knowledge of the American firms or the Department of Commerce.
Singapore does not join American export restrictions to China.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Publishers around the world are all too aware of this shift; over half of those recently surveyed by the Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism said that they plan to devote more effort into putting stories on TikTok this year.
@jovan Major shift
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“It has to be short, it has to be fast,”
It is useul guidelines for DW ||Jovan||
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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The emphasis on assessing academic performance by how many papers a researcher can publish, for example, acts as a powerful incentive for fraud at worst, and for gaming the system at best.
This could question whole academic system - push for more publishing.
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Checking models against reality is what science is supposed to be about, after all.
Good analogy with role of science in human society.
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That can cause “model collapse”.
Model colapse can be triggered by using AI-genereated data for development of the model. ||JovanNj||||anjadjATdiplomacy.edu||||sorina||
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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the company dominates the market for AI accelerator chips, accounting for 86% of such components sold globally;
86% of AI chips are produced by Nvidia
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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The concept intentionally obfuscates (clouds, one might say) the user’s ability to see the existence of hardware.
Cloud i
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Taylor Swift, the latest high-profile victim of a deepfake, might disagree.
H
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www.kosovo-online.com www.kosovo-online.com
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let’s get rid of bloody nationalism, let’s eradicate corruption, let’s stop the brain drain, let’s provide a decent life and, above all, a future to all our citizens, let’s take care of nature and let’s live in peace. The rest – EU, UN etc. – may come sooner or it may come later: what matters most is that we take better care of people.
Very good point! But, elites and mafia cannot make money in such scenario. It is easier to divide people and take money and resources from them.
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Bioregionalism, thus the rivers (White Drin, Lepenac, Ibar) and their plains and basins on all sides, could function as an excellent ‘negotiator’ and connect efficiently Kosovo to Albania, Macedonia and Serbia without mobilizing the narrative of ‘Great Serbia’, ‘Great Albania’, etc.
Great proposal. Unfortunately, it is uitopian. But, worth keeping alive.
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The reality check is mind-blowing: the end of SFR Yugoslavia (1991-1992), the end of FR Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro) in 2006, the loss of Kosovo (2008) and, let’s not forget, a ‘brain drain’ of unprecedent magnitude. Except for the potential breakup of the United Kingdom (Northern Ireland and Scotland), no other European country has faced such devastating consequences of its policy failures.
Agree!
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the EU is quite supportive of Serbia... as it needs a strong player in the region.
It is for debate. I agree that it is the case. But, I think it is more 'tactical' than 'strategic' reasoning. EU does not need conflict in the Balkans and they want to close 'Kosovo chapter'. They do not see Serbia as long-term partner.
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Both Vučić and Bosnian Serb leader Milorad Dodik have invested so much in pro-Russian sentiment that they are unable to wean themselves off it.
True!
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What is noteworthy is that Serbia is increasingly being mentioned in the same way.
I am not sure it is the case. Serbia is more mentioned as 'Western Balkans'.
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Consequently, the natural European anchorage for the post-Yugoslav states is Central Europe – naturally, I am viewing this in the framework of the European Union.
Interesting 'shift of geography'.
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the Western powers are not in control of this new conflictual world where power has become powerless, while weakness has given rise to power to the point of destabilizing the agenda of the strongest.
There is a good point here.
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Politics is driven less by state initiatives and more by social dynamics –
I am not sure that it is the case. It could be the case on deeper level. But, we are facing exactly opposite - power polticis everywhere.
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- Jan 2024
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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four-fifths of grade six maths teachers in South Africa did not understand the concepts they were supposed to teach.
What about training them?
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A chatbot can give undivided attention to each child, at any time of day, and never gets tired
Makes sens
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The third reason is that developing countries have gaping shortages of skilled workers: there are nowhere near enough teachers, doctors, engineers or managers.
Should we use AI or education of people? I can understand using AI in Europe with labour shortage, but in Africa, it does not make sense at all ||sorina||
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There are three main reasons for optimism.
These arguments are not related only to Arica. They are general. Can they apply to Africa? ||sorina||
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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Some developers in India are already taking Western models and fine-tuning them with local data to provide a whizzy language-translation service, avoiding the heavy capital costs of model-building.
b
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the phone in their pockets.
Ok
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Pupils in Kenya will soon be asking a chatbot questions about their homework, and the chatbot will be tweaking and improving its lessons in response.
Is it g
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The imf says that a fifth to a quarter of workers there are most exposed to replacement, compared with a third in rich countries.
Interest
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Because emerging countries have fewer white-collar workers, the disruption and the gain to existing firms may be smaller than in the West.
Possible tru
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Most exciting of all, it could help income levels catch up with those in the rich world.
How?
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As it spreads, the technology could raise productivity and shrink gaps in human capital faster than many before it.
Interesti
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N ew technology brings with it both the sweet hope of greater prosperity and the cruel fear of missing out.
Opportunitiy/threat binary.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:3001 ai.diplomacy.edu:3001
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The boss has to show their face to employees regularly, and it cannot be the face of someone who looks like they haven’t slept for two weeks. They have to glad-hand the board, meet investors, attend endless networking events and make time for actual work. It is exhausting to contemplate, let alone
||sorina|| why it is not good to be boss.
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theconversation.com theconversation.com
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And we could all benefit from valuing cyclical, paradoxical thinking as part of our personal growth.
An important section
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dig.watch dig.watch
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with national
What about 'international standardisation organisations'.
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as the WTO, dispute resolution can also be facilitated through global forums.
Dispute resolution failed in the WTO. Again, we have governments as actors.
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72. Reporting frameworks can be inspired by existing practices of the IAEA for mutual reassurance on nuclear safety and nuclear security, as well as the WHO on disease surveillance.
In both examples, reporting is done by member states. How realistic is to use this in the case of AI. Is analogy useful?
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a techno-prudential model, akin to the macro-prudential framework used to increase resilience in central banking
How useful is this analogy between AI which is very diverse and rather centralised system of central banks.
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The possibility of rogue AI escaping control and posing still larger risks cannot be ruled out.
Extinction risk stenence
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A new mechanism (or mechanisms) is required to facilitate access to data, compute, and talent
New structuers/mechanisms
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The borderless nature of AI tools
What is 'borderless' nature? AI is created and used within certain jurisdictions always.
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could also be coordinated through a body that harmonises policies, builds common understandings, surfaces best practices, supports implementation and promotes peer-to-peer learning
new body
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A consensus on the direction and pace of AI technologies
What type of consensus is expected?
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45. Rather than proposing any single model for AI governance at this stage, the preliminary recommendations offered in this interim report focus on the principles that should guide the formation of new global governance institutions for AI and the broad functions such institutions would need to perform.
Slight inherent contradiction.
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the possibility that it could pose an existential threat to humanity (even if there are debates over whether and how to assess such threats).
Mentioning existential threat
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28. Still others relate to human-machine interaction. At the individual level, this includes excessive trust in AI systems (automation bias) and potential de-skilling over time. At the societal level, it encompasses the impact on labour markets if large sections of the workforce are displaced, or on creativity if intellectual property rights are not protected. Societal shifts in the way we relate to each other as humans as more interactions are mediated by AI cannot also be ruled out. These may have unpredictable consequences for family life and for physical and emotional well-being.
Societal risks
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New and existing institutions could form nodes in a network of governance structures.
This sounds nice. But, nobody knows how it will work in reality as many are for 'coordination' but a few like to be 'coordinated'.
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New horizontal coordination and supervisory functions are required and they should be entrusted to a new organizational structure.
There is a call for a new organisational structure. It is interesting that that the text use 'should' instead of 'may' or 'might' which are typically used in the policy documents.
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What should be the threshold or the trigger for identifying red lines (analogous, perhaps, to the ban on human cloning in biomedical research)? How would any such red line be policed and enforced?
extinction risk
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shared and differentiated responsibilities
Key concept
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At the global level, international organizations, governments, and private sector would bear primary responsibility for these functions. Civil society, including academia and independent scientists, would play key roles in building evidence for policy, assessing impact, and holding key actors to account during implementation.
Different functoins
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(a) build scientific consensus on risks, impact, and policy (IPCC); (b) establish global standards (ICAO, ITU, IMO), iterate and adapt them; (c) provide capacity building, mutual assurance and monitoring (IAEA, ICAO); (d) network and pool research resources (CERN); (e) engage diverse stakeholders (ILO, ICANN); (f) facilitate commercial flows and address systemic risks (SWIFT, FATF, FSB).
inspiration for governance mechanisms.
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36. We also need to meet member states where they are and assist them with what they need in their own contexts given their specific constraints in terms of participation in and adherence to global AI governance, rather than telling them where they should be and what they should do based on a context to which they cannot relate.
Novelty: avoid lecturing
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25. We examined AI risks firstly from the perspective of technical characteristics of AI. Then we looked at risks through the lens of inappropriate use, including dual-use, and broader considerations of human-machine interaction. Finally, we looked at risks from the perspective of vulnerability.
Novelty: Comprehensive approach to AI risks combining technical characteristics, inappropriate use and perspective of vulnerability.
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Repositories of AI models that can be adapted to different contexts could be the equivalent of generic medicines to expand access, in ways that do not promote AI concentration or consolidation.
Novelity
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Open-Source and sharing of data and models could play an important role in spreading the benefits of AI and developing beneficial data and AI value chains across borders.
Open source
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to develop local AI ecosystems, the ability to train local models on local data, as well as fine-tuning models developed elsewhere to suit local circumstances and purposes.
Novelity
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AI presents distinctly global challenges and opportunities that the UN is uniquely positioned to address, turning a patchwork of evolving initiatives into a coherent, interoperable whole, grounded in universal values agreed by its member states, adaptable across contexts.
An important 'coordinating function' of the UN
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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Their family had spent weeks agonizing over whether to flee as Israeli troops moved into Gaza City’s al-Rimal neighborhood, tanks rolling past their front door and a terrifying cacophony of bombs, quadcopter drones and gunfire thundering all around them.
@sorina this paragraph is critial for understanding legal aspects of palestine crisis.
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arxiv.org arxiv.org
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hese models encapsulate a wealth of humanknowledge, linguistic patterns, and cultural nuances.
Elements for AI training
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www.internetgovernance.org www.internetgovernance.org
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What is Article 45 of eIDAS?
Analysis of credentials and AI.
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www.turingpost.com www.turingpost.com
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The founders' (or France's?) vision
The French version of open source AI.
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Instagram walls or experiences attracted visitors to a locale and kept them engaged by giving them an activity to perform with their phones, like a restaurant providing colouring books for kids.
Critical aspect
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In non-places, “people are always, and never, at home”, Augé wrote.
Key statement.
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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The group has its main base on the Israel-Lebanon border and has been exchanging fire with Israel since the Gaza war began. The movement is close to Hamas in Gaza.
||VladaR|| Vlado, ovo je test. Ovo ima veze sa nasim jucerasnjim razogovorom o encyrption.
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ai.diplomacy.edu:8549 ai.diplomacy.edu:8549
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We have Arthi Prabhakar, who is the Director of the White House Office of Science and Technology.
Important sentence
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.comreddit1
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Tencent launched PhotoMaker,
to be tested.
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thesequence.substack.com thesequence.substack.com
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Product and engineering teams need to work closely together
||sorina||||JovanNj|| This is technical explanation of 'cognitive proximity'
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Fine-tuning is when you slightly adjust the model parameters of a pre-trained AI model using example data. RAG is when you augment a generative AI model with traditional information retrieval to give the model access to private data.
Two key techniques at Diplo. ||JovanNj||||sorina||
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They make it possible for non-technical experts to directly shape AI products through prompt engineering.
||JovanNj||||Jovan||
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www.rt.com www.rt.com
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first, its still-advanced military power; second, its central role in the global financial system, which provides an international settlement infrastructure and a convertible currency; third, its strong position in a number of technological fields; and fourth, its ideology and values platform, which, together with the other three dimensions, provide what can be tentatively called a "pyramid of credibility" for American strategy in the world.
Four pillars of the US strategic advantage.
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circleid.com circleid.com
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At the G20 Summit, the president of the EU Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, proposed the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as a model.
von der Leyen on AI.
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