- Nov 2022
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www.mfa.gov.sg www.mfa.gov.sg
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If they reach a modus vivendi, that would be ideal for a place like Singapore.
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The technological decoupling will also further disrupt global systems, which in fact have been the enabler of peace, stability, and prosperity for the last 75 years after the end of the Second World War.
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Since the Renaissance in Europe and the Industrial Revolution, the entire globe has worked on a single technology stack: basic science, applied science, technology, goods, and products
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The absence of strategic trust will lead both sides to always assume the worst.
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to a self-fulfilling prophecy that fractures science, technology, and the economy. It is self-fulfilling.
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Even as President Xi and other senior Chinese leaders denounce protectionism, decoupling, and unilateral sanctions, they continue to reiterate the importance of building China’s own global network of partnerships, and making China’s industrial and supply chains more resilient and secure.
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such as AI software and quantum computing
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The US is concerned that advancements in critical and emerging technologies can transform and empower foreign militaries, and ultimately impinge on US national security
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I say all this so that we try to relieve our obsession with ideological labels, and to understand how and why countries and leaders adopt certain postures.
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But the West was wrong when it wishfully believed or hoped that economic openness would invariably lead to Western-style political reforms
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Sometimes when my American friends complain about this apparent attempt at autarky and self-reliance, we forget that it is not confined to China. In fact, today, we also have “Made in America”. That is not new either. If you go back to the 80s, there was “Made in Japan”.
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referred to science and technology as foundational and strategic pillars,
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But China never forgets its sense of history or its place in the world, and quite naturally and legitimately wants to reclaim its place in the world.
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Within Asia itself, the first country to embark on modernisation was Japan. We saw that during the Meiji Restoration.
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Consequently, it missed out on the Industrial Revolution
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the compass, gunpowder, paper-making, and printing.
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A thousand years ago, that country – and obviously, I am referring to China – probably constituted at least 30% of global GDP.
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To be fair, the rest of the word, especially small city-states like us in Southeast Asia, benefited from those five decades. In the case of Singapore, our per capita GDP grew from about US$500 57 years ago – it went up more than a hundredfold.
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at a time when it was about 40% of global GDP (gross domestic product), to benefit,
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it basically set up a world which was not based on ‘winner takes all’.
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the United States did to rebuild its enemies during th
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The febrile relationship between the United States and China is of great concern to us – I think not just to Singapore, but indeed to all countries in the world.
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The first word – trust. The second word is fracture. The third is Newton’s third law of motion.
Three key words: trust, fracture, and motion.
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geopolitique.eu geopolitique.eu
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when threatened, the United States resolved to tightly control the technologies underpinning economic growth and military superiority.
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Brazil and Indonesia, leaders in orchestrating past nonalignment movements, are also taking advantage of their new pull. Europe should not underestimate the interest of postcolonial elites in charting an independent course.
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“If China and India spoke with one voice, the whole world will listen. If China and India joined hands, the whole world will pay attention.”
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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Brazil will indeed be back, but possibly in a minor key.
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What Nicolás Maduro, Venezuela’s autocrat, wants is relief from American sanctions. So Brazil would have to work closely with Mr Biden’s people.
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Lula’s victory means that left-wing governments are in charge in all of Latin America’s bigger countries.
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Russia is one of the few issues on which Lula and Mr Bolsonaro agree. Brazil condemns the invasion but, like many developing countries, will not cut ties. Though Lula will be friendly to China, his team worry that the two countries’ trade has undermined Brazilian industry.
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Its main instruments were the BRICS group (in which Brazil joined Russia, India, China and South Africa) and initiatives in Latin America and Africa, including the Mercosur trade block with Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay. “Back then multipolarity seemed reasonably easy to achieve in a quite benign way,” Celso Amorim, who was foreign minister and is now Lula’s chief foreign-policy adviser, told Bello. “Now things are much fuzzier.”
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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Expecting geopolitical tensions between the West and China to go away is naive at best. So is expecting an autocrat like Mr Xi, who makes no bones about wanting to indigenise Chinese industry, to respect all commercial commitments to foreigners. Not cutting all business ties with China is understandable, and perfectly sensible. Deepening them looks reckless.
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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they prioritise the upside of long-shot projects rather than seeking to minimise failure.
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handing out grants by lottery
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darpa models
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a one-size-fits-all approach
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to fund “people not projects”
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the darpa model does best when its programme directors have a clear understanding of the sort of breakthroughs that are needed
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The dARPA model, which has more in common with venture capital than traditional funding structures, is an attempt to do just that
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The most common way research is funded, through peer review—in which academics in similar fields score proposals—deserves some blame
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The more knowledge humans have, the longer it takes a budding researcher to get to the frontier, and thus to push things forward. In a paper provocatively titled, “The burden of knowledge and the death of the Renaissance man”, Mr Jones argued humanity’s growing knowledge would slow scientific progress and thus economic growth.
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www.govexec.com www.govexec.com
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empowering long-serving career officials ensures the most experienced officials are influential in the policy process and incentivizes the development of expertise through a career in government service
||Katarina_An|| Is this related to your research on diplomatic functions?
@kishan rana what indian diplomacy
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- Oct 2022
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especially to American and other Western observers, is the inclusion of a reference to “indivisible security”, a term associated with Russian rhetoric. But the Chinese-language equivalent can also mean “inalienable” or “inseparable”.
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China put forward the Global Development Initiative (GDI) last year. Seen as a continuation of the Belt and Road Initiative, the GDI prioritises the alignment of areas for cooperation with the UN’s 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. China emphasises cooperation through UN development agencies in implementing the GDI, as opposed to the Belt and Road Initiative, which is primarily a bilateral endeavour.
||sorina|| One of the main shifts in China's Global Development Initiative is that it should focu son SDGs and it should be implemented via the UN (unlike Belt and Road Initaitive).
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Mao Zedong would call him a forerunner in China’s pursuit of modernisation. In terms of China’s foreign relations, Sun’s idea that “all [nations] are equal” (tianxia datong) resonates with framings such as the “five principles of peaceful coexistence” and “a world community with a shared future”.
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plato.stanford.edu plato.stanford.eduVoltaire21
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Voltaire remains today an iconic hero for everyone who sees a positive linkage between critical reason and political resistance in projects of progressive, modernizing reform.
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Marx’s famous thesis that philosophy should aspire to change the world, not merely interpret it, owes more than a little debt Voltaire.
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The model he offered of the philosophe as critical public citizen and advocate first and foremost, and as abstruse and systematic thinker only when absolutely necessary, was especially influential in the subsequent development of the European philosophy.
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By also attaching what many in the nineteenth century saw as Voltaire’s proto-positivism to his celebrated campaigns to eradicate priestly and aristo-monarchical authority through the debunking of the “irrational superstitions” that appeared to anchor such authority
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All of Voltaire’s public campaigns, in fact, deployed empirical fact as the ultimate solvent for irrational prejudice and blind adherence to preexisting understandings
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the most important project was defending empirical science as an alternative to traditional natural philosophy
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made him in some respects the leading philosophical advocate and ideologist for the new empirico-scientific conception of philosophy that Newton initiated.
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Both Hume and Voltaire began with the same skepticism about rationalist philosophy, and each embraced the Newtonian criterion that made empirical fact the only guarantor of truth in philosophy.
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to become a leading evangelist for this new Newtonian epistemology, and by consequence a major reason for its widespread dissemination and acceptance in France and throughout Europe
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the currents of Newtonianism
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the power and value of careful empirical science.
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in a hedonistic calculus of maximizing pleasure and minimizing pain.
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his hedonistic morality
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the free and public use of critical reason, and from the liberty that allows such critical debate to proceed untrammeled
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makes him an unquestioned forerunner of modern civil libertarianism.
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Voltaire to this dictum is the fact that even while he did not write these precise words, they do capture, however imprecisely, the spirit of his philosophy of liberty.
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“I disagree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it.”
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But since many were incapable of such self-knowledge and self-control, religion, he claimed, was a necessary guarantor of social order.
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For Voltaire, humans are not deterministic machines of matter and motion, and free will thus exists. But humans are also natural beings governed by inexorable natural laws, and his ethics anchored right action in a self that possessed the natural light of reason immanently
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Central to this complex is Voltaire’s conception of liberty.
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a singular role
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www.nethistory.info www.nethistory.info
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The prehistory of the Internet
Ian Peter's pre-history of the Internet
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networks.h-net.org networks.h-net.org
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Special attention will be paid to knowledge networks, economic and material means, productions (scriptural, artistic or other) and vectors of influence
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This conference wants to contribute to a transnational and decompartmentalized history of these circulations.
Idea for Jovan's book
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This text sent by ||sorina|| discusses the way how machines can simulate common sense.
It is rather realistic because it starts with assumption that AI cannot replace human consciousness, but it can 'simulate' it by observing and measuring.
It is based on 'heuristic', philosophical concept, that deals with the way how we make decisions.
Practically speaking, AI is learning from experience by human evaluation of AI decisions and 're-inforced' learning. In that sense, what we do with the text is methodologically similar: we ask AI to provide us with drafts and we react to it based on our intelligence and knowledge.
||Jovan||
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but with the development of benchmarking tools like AGENT, we’ll be able to measure how close we’re getting.
It is a good point. We may not simulate human counsciousness but we can observe it.
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‘cost-reward trade-offs’, which means an understanding of how humans take actions “based on utility, trading off the rewards of its goal against the costs of reaching it.”
What motivates human actions?
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A model must then judge how surprising the agent’s behaviors in the ‘test’ videos are, based on the actions it learned in the ‘familiarization’ videos. Using the AGENT benchmark, that model is then validated against large-scale human-rating trials, where humans rated the ‘surprising’ ‘test’ videos as more surprising than the ‘expected’ test videos.
AGENT works on reinforced learning as well.
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Researchers from IBM, MIT, and Harvard have created just that: AGENT, which stands for Action-Goal-Efficiency-coNstraint-uTility.
We should follow AGENT development. It is also interesting for diplomacy since diplomat is AGENT.
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a “naive sense of physics” — this means that we know certain things about physics without having to work through physics equations, like why you shouldn’t put a bowling ball on a slanted surface.
It is an important part of 'common sense'
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www.atlanticcouncil.org www.atlanticcouncil.org
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The 5×5—The future of cyber diplomacy
Cyber Diplomacy document by the Atlantic Council
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www.accessnow.org www.accessnow.org
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||dusandATdiplomacy.edu|| Ovo je gruap organizacija koje odlicnom poznajem. Oni prave kontekst za SSO projekat. Upozoravaju na centralizovani digital ID.
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It is far from being proven that most digital identity programmes have brought additional benefits to users, without placing them at risk.
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Veći deo trgovine među njima tada bi se obavljao u domaćim valutama. Ali da bi se poravnale one neizbežne razlike (viškovi i manjkovi u platnom bilansu), Centralna banka će stvoriti zajedničku valutu.
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Ono što je Rusiji zaista neophodno jesu kritični industrijski proizvodi poput kompjuterskih čipova. A njih bi mogla da traži da ih uveze iz Kine, da a ih plaća juanima koje je Rusija već obezbedila.”
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Duh reformi usmerenih na obuzdavanje ‘slobodnog tržišta’ počeo je da se širi među studentima još pre deset godina, a ti isti su sada već počeli svoj uspon po lestvicama partijske hijerarhije.”
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www.eeas.europa.eu www.eeas.europa.eu
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Identity is today the real battlefield. Identity is coming back as a powerful matter. Remember what someone said, “it is the economy, stupid”? Now, “it is the identity, stupid”.
||dusandATdiplomacy.edu|| Ovde se 'identity' koristi u sirem znacenju, ali ce to postati veliko politicko i ekonomsko pitanje. Borrell u ovom govoru kaze 'It is the indetity, stupid'.
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The beauty of the European experience is “you and me”, overcoming the heritage of the past and offering to the world the recipe for peaceful coexistence, cooperation, integration and development.
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“it is the identity, stupid”
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do not have anymore on their mind their country – well, they will always have their country on their mind.
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Nothing similar in scope and content is available today in Europe, I am sure.
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The big difference between us and an important part of the rest of the world is that we have institutions.
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It is very difficult to build institutions.
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the rest of the world
It is too generic statement. There are many other countries with good institutions.
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“People [matter], institutions [matter] much more”. People go by, institutions remain.
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working on institution-building
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They have to work in a different way because today everybody is a Minister of Foreign Affairs, because the foreign is internal and the internal is external. There is no longer a clear boundary. Who takes care of the internal dimension and who takes care of the external dimension? “You are in charge of the external dimension” - yes, but there is not a clear border between one thing and the other.
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You are very close to Brussels.
This is a problem. European Academy should have some distance from Brussels in order to understand the rest of the world. Understanding EU machinery is not enough.
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it will become a period of instability and we will have to build a new security order.
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And any nuclear attack against Ukraine will create an answer, not a nuclear answer but such a powerful answer from the military side that the Russian Army will be annihilated, and Putin should not be bluffing.
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I know that diplomacy is about values, and also about interest.
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When more or less 20% of the world community decided not to support or not to reject the Russian annexation – for me, it is too many. It is too many.
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Thank you also to the Florence Institute, the Maastricht Institute for conducting the feasibility study which will [pave] the way in order to make this pilot project a permanent reality.
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It is not the same thing to be a national diplomat and a European Union’s diplomat
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Thanks to the strong support of the European Parliament that has been very much instrumental in ensuring the funding to create this pilot project, we finally see a certain number of European young people - young diplomats - that want to become fully-fledged European diplomats.
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we are certainly living also a “moment of creation” of a new world.
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But if we want to engage frankly and honestly, to discuss about the real problems and looking for solutions, then you have to tell all the truth – but we will do it later.
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political freedom, economic prosperity, social cohesion
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The gardeners have to go to the jungle.
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Most of the rest of the world is a jungle, and the jungle could invade the garden.
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Europe is a garden.
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app.go.economist.com app.go.economist.com
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Solving sovereignty for security and data control is well under way.
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hybrid cloud approaches are becoming more popular so that organisations can leverage the potential of large providers while retaining their most sensitive processes under their own control or the control of local providers.
||Jovan||
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including around the relevant regulatory authority
compliance power of Google.
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homogenisation
what is 'homogenisation'?
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to lessen the risks of dependence on foreign technology,
In the digital realm, it is mainly the US technology (social platform, semi-conductors, data farms, etc.).
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policy changes and leverage digital sovereignty
Does the Economist accept digital sovereignty as 'given'?
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www.mfa.gov.sg www.mfa.gov.sg
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to establish the network of people who have both mastery of science and diplomacy
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The ripple effects of all this bifurcation goes beyond just science and technology. It risks the decoupling of global systems that have been the enablers of peace and stability for the last seventy-five years
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we are now in danger of perhaps a technological bifurcation due to geopolitical conflic
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are our current regimes for intellectual property protection and dissemination fit for purpose
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This involves governments playing a role not simply the regulator and a producer of rules but being a proactive enabler, providing the necessary frameworks and infrastructure for progress and excellence, and to translate this research into useful, and if I may add, ethical applications for commercialisation.
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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leaps in chip technology are often boosted by government research grants.
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CHIPS Act,
What do we know about this act?
||sorina||||VladaR||
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Only TSMC and Samsung, a South Korean tech giant, know how to make the world’s most advanced chips.
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Its success reshaped the industry, allowing fab-less design companies to flourish, without the financial burden of building pricey new factories every few years. Today tsmc is the biggest chipmaker in the world by market value.
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only outfits that manufactured huge amounts of chips would be cost-competitive. With lavish support from Taiwan’s government, TSMC was born.
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put into practice a long-held idea for a firm that made chips designed by customers
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First, the Soviet Union tried and failed to replicate Silicon Valley.
It will be interesting to learn about this attempt. It was probably one of the reasons for the failure of the Soviet Union.
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In “Chip War”, his elegant new book, Chris Miller of Tufts University shows how economic, geopolitical and technological forces shaped this essential industry.
to check this book.
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www.oecd.org www.oecd.org
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Africa group of OECD and African Ambassadors could provide strategic insights.
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ncluding members of the Governing Board of the Development Centre
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over the next six months,the Secretariat will conduct extensive consultations in order to narrow down the scope and define the main pillars of the partnership.
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urther inclusion in OECD databases
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withOECD standardswhere possible
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Policy Reviews
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Knowledge sharing, peer-learning and high-level policy dialogues
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rely onevidence-based policy analysis and policy dialogue
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to strengtheningthecoherence of policy frameworks
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on an equal footing in global policy-making and standard-setting can enhance the international community’s response to global challengesand help further level the global playing field.
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in some instances–global standard-setting
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for greater recognition of Africa in global governance and for the development of a co-designed, mutually beneficial partnership.1
||sorina|| Maybe to quote it somewhere?
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with a platform for policy dialogue through which African partners can provide their perspectives on standards
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strengthenAfrican policymakers’voices
||sorina|| OECD wants also to 'strenghten African policy makers voices' (but not in digital field).
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to build an impactfulpartnershipbased ontrust,mutual understanding and enhancedco-operation on an equal footing,to addressmutually agreed priorities.
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Africa’s priorities are guided by Agenda 2063, a wide-ranging long-term vision for the continent.
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the Africa Infrastructure Index scores improved for almost all African countries between 2018 and 2020.
to introduce this index into our statistics.
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email.feps-europe.eu email.feps-europe.eu
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It is a time to unite behind a new grand narrative for Europe and to build a vibrant organisation.
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a vibrant, influential and inclusive community
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there is a community that gets motivated by it and an organisation that ensures its implementation
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this new narrative cannot be about reaching a compromise that only disguises a common lowest denominator. It must be about making bold choices.
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there are anchoring points to build on.
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it is difficult to predict how things will unfold
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a unique opportunity to write history, to try to serve a greater purpose, and to make a difference.
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d32j3j47emgb6f.cloudfront.net d32j3j47emgb6f.cloudfront.net
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2Open Loop is a global program that connects policymakers and technology companies to help develop effective and evidence-based policies around AI and other emerging technologies.
Open Loop project of Meta/Facebook on linking policymakers and technology companies.
||sorina||
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cybersolarium.org cybersolarium.org
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2022 Annual Report on Implementation
This is the most serious analyusis of the US cybersecurity. It provides useful summary of international activities in the field of cybersecurity.
||VladaR||||AndrijanaG||||sorina||
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www.imf.org www.imf.org
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Against this backdrop, Mr. Selassie pointed to four priorities for policy makers in the region:
nice sentence for linking to thoughts
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Chang created TSMC, which produces chips designed by its clients, as opposed to designing its own. The company now produces 92 per cent of the world’s most advanced semiconductors.
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after Congress passed legislation to provide $52bn to bolster domestic semiconductor production in the US.
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www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
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Areas like artificial intelligence and quantum computing were particularly important, he told the audience.
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for a "grown-up" conversation about collaboration with China at UK universities.
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we understand that there is no free good here.
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for Chinese digital currencies
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New standards for the internet proposed by China
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the BeiDou satellite system - a rival to the established GPS network which he said had been built into exports to more than 120 countries.
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to create "client economies and governments" by exporting technology to countries around the world
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www.eeas.europa.eu www.eeas.europa.eu
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Otherwise, our model will perish, will not be able to survive in this world.
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Our fight is to try to explain that democracy, freedom, political freedom is not something that can be exchanged by economic prosperity or social cohesion.
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hat are the links between political freedom and a better life.
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When we say that China is our rival, systemic rival, systemic rival means that our systems are in rivalry. And the Chinese are trying to explain to the world that their system is much better. Because, well, maybe you are not going to choose your head of government, but you will have food, and heat, and social services, you will improve your living conditions. Many people in the world, yes, they go and vote and choose their government, but their material conditions are not being improved. And in the end, people want to live a better life.
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in this battle of narratives
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I need my delegations to step up on social media, on TV, in debates. Retweet our messages, our [European] External Action Service materials. Certainly, my blog, which is the everyday “consigna”. Tailor it to the local circumstances, use local languages. The first problem is that we speak English but a lot of people around the world do not speak English and do not understand if we address them in English. Do it in local languages. We still have a “reflex” of European culture: we speak our languages, and we expect the rest of the world to understand us. Many, many people around the world do not understand, not even Spanish.
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We provide you with materials and I have the feeling that you do not transmit the message strongly enough.
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And I am still surprised that, in some delegations, it seems that they do not take enough consideration of our communication, and they do not tweet and re-tweet the messages that we are delivering from the centre. You have to be a network that is repeating, transmitting, insisting.
Importance of social media.
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we are creating new dependencies in this link between energy, climate [and] technology.
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we cannot substitute one dependency by another.
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We have to try to think in the medium and long-term
-
between what we announce and what we implement,
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Please, be prepared for better explanation of what we do with a time schedule.
Time component in diplomacy.
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It does not mean anything one figure if you do not put a time dimension.
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When we hesitate, we regret it.
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Take more initiative. Be ready to be bold.
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Behave as you would behave if you were an Embassy: send a telegram, a cable, a mail - quickly. Quickly, please, react.
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I think that we have to be faster and to take risks. I need you to report fast, in real time on what is happening in your countries. I want to be informed by you, not by the press. Sometimes, I knew more of what was happening somewhere by reading the newspapers than reading your reports. Your reports come sometimes too late. Sometimes, I read something happening somewhere and I ask “what [does our Delegation [say]. For the time being, nothing. “For the time being, nothing” is not affordable. You have to be on 24-hours reaction capacity. Immediately - something happens, you inform. I do not want to continue reading in the newspapers about things that happened somewhere with our Delegation having said nothing.
What is the future of diplomatic reporting?
||Jovan||
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It is no longer the economy, it is the identity.
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We think that we know better what is in other people’s interests.
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to overestimate the rational arguments.
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more empathy
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to listen more
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we have the “Brussels effect” and we continue setting standards, but I believe that, more and more, the rest of the world is not ready to follow our exportation of model.
-
we try to export our model, but we do not think enough about how the others will perceive this exportation of models.
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with Team Europe and the Global Gateway
-
we have to think more politically.
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apart from that, there [are] the hybrid wars, there is the disinformation war that continues. I want to stress the importance of the war on information and disinformation – I will talk about it later.
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the global system does not deliver,
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These people do not want to be forced to take sides in this geopolitical competition.
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the rising nationalism, revisionism plus identity politics.
-
Everything is a weapon: energy, investments, information, migration flows, data, etc. There is a global fight about access to some strategic domains: cyber, maritime, or outer space.
-
what the Mexican President said about us yesterday.
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There is an authoritarian trend.
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a fight between the democratic systems and the authoritarian systems.
-
We cannot say “we are the democracies”, and the ones which follow us are also democracies - that is not true. That is not true.
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the US-China competition
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a messy multipolarity.
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the degree to which Russia is becoming a major factor in African theatres – yes, it is a surprise. We could not – we should [have] -, but we did not imagine how quickly, from the Central African Republic, now to Mali, and I do not know what is happening in Burkina Faso.
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