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  1. Jan 2022
    1. Digitalization is the use of digital technologies to change a business model and provide new revenue and value-producing opportunities; it is the process of moving to a digital business.

      focus on business model

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    1. Tereza sent me an interesting link on Canvas experiment with using spreadsheet. Our AI team will follow-up on it in order to see if we can use anything from it.

      I found one aspect intereting. Most business solutons, including Tableaux, are too complex. They also start form assumption that users are not intelligent.

      We used spreadsheet intensively in www.diplomacy.edu and dig.watch transition and found it close to basic logic in organising data for which you do not need specialised knowledge.

      Behind our data sandbox is also idea of spreadsheet in displaying and arranging data.

      There is more to be explored in this experiment on the following aspects:

      • what is basic human cognition in terms of identifying mainly causations - e.g. Is it alrady captured in the logic of spreadsheet (X/Y axis)?
      • how to transfer this basic cognition into usable systems used by Diplo and GIP?
    2. “Fundamentally, this resulted in a breakdown of trust between the business and the data sides of the house. That inspired us to leave Flexport and really try to understand its problem and solve it.”
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    1. Space and aviation technology requires high level of fault-tolerance. It is interesting that European space/aviation industry is shifting towards RISC-V open source approach. This text summarises De-RISC project on this topic.

      ||VladaR||

    2. with heritage in design of fault-tolerant systems.
    3. with no dependence on external technology or licenses,
    4. To some extent, RISC-V is at hardware (HW) level what Linux was in its origins at Operating System level, offering a competitive open source platform able to compete with Windows-based products.
    5. requires improved computing performance, and methods to ensure safe and reliable software (SW) execution
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    1. PRINCIPLES FOR DIGITAL DEVELOPMENT

      Inclusion is not explictely outlined. Inclusion 'include' technical aspect (access), policy, skills, gender, etc.

    2. Design for scale:Widespread distribution of digital projects requires more than a pilot project, but also sustainable models and funding and partners who are also able to implement the initiatives in other regions.4) Build for sustainability: To achieve long-term impact, it is important to support users and stakeholders equally – with sustainable programmes, platforms and digital tools

      These two principles have certain overlap since scalling requires sustainable solutions.

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    1. Vožnja električnim automobilom skuplja nego "dizelašem"

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    1. This article provides a solid and balanced analysis of Putin's claim that NATO's expansion towards East has been breach of deal which was made between USA and Soviet Union in1990s.

      This text provides necessary context for understanding 1990s and the end of the cold war.

      Legally speaking it misses on a few points like most of commentators in the recent crisis:

      • international agreements do not need to be signed. Agreed text in the form of treaty provides clarity as it would in this case. It is unclear if there was 'agreement' or tactical probing during the re-unification of Germany.
      • even if agreements are signed there are two - sometimes - contradicting principles of international law: pacta sunt servanda and rebus sic stantibus. The first one stipulates that you must observe agreement as it is written. Second one stipulates that agreement could be interpreted and implemented in accordance to changing context.

      Article also misses deeper historical context. Namely, in Russian 'collective consciousness' there a deep fear from invasion that dates back to Mongoles and more recently with Napoleon and Hitler. It dates back to invasions from the East by Mongoles Ginggis Cthere is a very deep fear in Russia from invasion. It is shaped by huge territory of plains wihtout any major barrier towards West. For example, one of rare issues with consensus in Russia is fear of invasion following strong historical memory of Napoleon and Hitler. There is saying that 'Russian liberalism ends at the border with Ukraine.” which is proven by Navalny's views on 'state issues' in Russia.

      Here is a crucial dynamics of the current crisis. While Putin exploites this deep fear in dealing with Ukraina, there is a risk that Navalny or anyone else may be even more radical in order to prove 'his/her statehood credentials'.

      All in all, this crisis has to be managed on different levels. The first step would be to safe Ukrainians from becoming victim of something which was and is currently beyond their influence and overall reach.

      History, as always, must be handled with utmost care!

    2. By calling on NATO to pull military infrastructure out of Eastern Europe, and on the U.S. to offer written guarantees that it will never support Ukraine’s accession to NATO, Sarotte told me, “he wants a do-over of 1997.”
    3. “Just as a glacier sweeps across a landscape slowly, yet alters broad swathes of terrain profoundly, so too did NATO’s expansion eastward force elements of the post-Cold War political landscape to shift and settle, leaving behind landmarks for the twenty-first century.”
    4. At a summit in Helsinki, Clinton promised to give Yeltsin four billion dollars in investment in 1997, as much as the U.S. had provided in the five years prior, while also dangling W.T.O. membership and other economic inducements.
    5. Washington “must be very careful not to be seen as running after the Russians, offering them concessions,” Clinton’s Secretary of State at the time, Warren Christopher, said.
    6. Putin’s current demand—clearly provocative and unrealistic—is for NATO to remove its military infrastructure from states that joined after the 1997 agreement.
    7. a Russia-NATO agreement signed by his predecessor Boris Yeltsin in May, 1997
    8. (Moscow, short on cash and presiding over a collapsing empire, was in desperate need of the fifteen billion Deutsche marks that it received in order to withdraw Soviet forces from East Germany); Western confidence and ambition (“To hell with that,” Bush had told Kohl at Camp David, dismissing the Soviets’ efforts to dictate Germany’s future relationship with NATO. “We prevailed and they didn’t”); and bungling negotiating on the part of Gorbachev (“This carelessness will take its revenge on us,” Valentin Falin, a top Soviet official and expert on Germany, remarked).
    9. In September, 1990, Gorbachev signed off on the Treaty on the Final Settlement with Respect to Germany
    10. as a sign that the secretary had only been test-driving one potential option of many.”
    11. Soviet leaders would rather see Germany anchored in a multilateral alliance than left on its own.
    12. the West should lock in as many gains as it could before the political climate shifted yet again and Moscow’s position became more entrenched
    13. “An extension of NATO’s territory to the east, that is, nearer to the borders of the Soviet Union, will not happen,” he said in one address, as Sarotte recounts.
    14. the context of the moment
    15. the truth looks to be somewhere in between.”
    16. Did the West, led by the U.S., promise to limit NATO expansion eastward?
    17. The phrase “not one inch” is a reference to a statement made by U.S. Secretary of State James Baker, in 1990
    18. “ ‘Not one inch to the East,’ they told us in the nineties. So what? They cheated, just brazenly tricked us!”
    19. have different interpretations of history
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    1. Why Washington Can’t Learn

      An interesting text on incapability to learn. Author considers Vietnam and Afganistan war as long war (one war) which was driven ideologically by American exceptionalism and executed via military might.

    2. Only if Americans abandon their fealty to the idea of American Exceptionalism and the militarism that has sustained it, might it be possible to conclude that the wars in Vietnam and Afghanistan served some faintly useful purpose.
    3. Almost certainly, the North Vietnamese would have succeeded in uniting their divided country with much less bloodshed. And Taliban control of Afghanistan would in all likelihood have continued without interruption in the years following 2001, with the Afghan people left to sort out their own destiny. Yet, despite immense sacrifices by U.S. troops, a vast expenditure of treasure, and quite literally millions of dead in Southeast Asia and Afghanistan, that’s exactly how things turned out anyway.
    4. too few Americans are willing to confront the disaster that has befallen the United States as a consequence of our serial misuse of military power.
    5. Reliance on conscription to raise the force that fought in Vietnam spurred widespread popular opposition to that war. Reliance on a so-called volunteer military to carry the burden of waging the Afghan War allowed ordinary Americans to ignore what was being done in their name, especially when field commanders devised methods for keeping a lid on U.S. casualties.
    6. It’s time to substitute a narrative describing an American military enterprise that began when the first U.S. combat troops came ashore in South Vietnam and persisted until the last American soldier departed Kabul in defeat some 56 years later.
    7. Subsuming them, however, was the concept of American exceptionalism.
    8. While these events unleashed a torrent of self-congratulation in the U.S., the passing of the Cold War did not substantively modify the aspirations or expectations of the American people. For decades, the United States had exerted itself to uphold and enhance the advantageous position it gained in 1945. Its tacit goal was not only to hold the communist world in check but to achieve ideological, economic, political, and military primacy on a global scale, with all but the most cynical American leaders genuinely persuaded that U.S. supremacy served the interests of humankind.
    9. Among the things it left fully intact was a stubborn resistance to learning in Washington that poses a greater threat to the wellbeing of the American people than communism or terrorism ever did.
    10. That war was destined to continue for 20 years. By the time it ended, many observers had long since begun to compare it to Vietnam. The similarities were impossible to miss. Both were wars of doubtful strategic necessity. Both dragged on endlessly. Both concluded in mortifying failure. To capture the essence of the war in Afghanistan, it didn’t take long for critics to revive a term that had been widely used to describe Vietnam: each was a quagmire. Here was all you needed to know.
    11. The Global War on Terror now became the organizing principle for American statecraft, serving a function comparable to the Cold War during the second half of the prior century.
    12. When President Richard Nixon visited “Red” China in 1972, the Cold War morphed into something quite different. With the nation’s most prominent anticommunist taking obvious delight in shaking hands with Chairman Mao Zedong in Beijing, the war effort in Vietnam became utterly inexplicable — and so it has remained ever since.
    13. In history, context is everything.
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    1. The senior administration official said basic human rights and freedoms have been “core to any affirmative vision of the internet” from the beginning.
    2. encourage any splintering of the internet”
    3. Asking governments around the world to root out any internet infrastructure made by Chinese companies like Huawei as a barrier to entry into the alliance struck Pielemeier,
    4. including a pledge “to use only trustworthy providers” in core internet infrastructure — a stipulation that freaked out some digital rights advocates and called to mind the “clean network” initiative that began under the Trump administration.
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    1. In the future, 3GPP and O-RAN are going to co-exist and share a number of key technological features, at the same time that they complement and compete with each other. Operators have and should continue to have the freedom to choose, and suppliers should need no permission from policy makers to make their choices and place their bets.   Therefore, market-based competition ­– where merits of technical performance and the competitiveness of different solutions and architectures decide market outcomes – should be ensured. The freedom of the market should prevail and not be taken away from commercial players’ ability to make their investment choices. This means that different approaches can compete on technical merits, price, security, flexibility and functionality.  Presence of market forces, innovation and open interfaces are meant to ensure that competition prevails and delivers end-user and societal benefits.   Therefore, policy makers should not pick winners, but continue to ensure the following outcomes:  Open markets for competition while letting the market decide   Technology-neutral regulation, not mandating any architecture  Technology-neutral fixed broadband and wireless roll-out subsidies, which only target geographies where commercial, market-driven investments are not a viable option to ensure digital inclusion. 
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    1. During 'Djokovic saga' I have been trying to see if AI in some future form (conceptually) would be able to explain or, even, manage Djokovic case, which is par-excellence 'thick' logical problem combining among others:

      • legal aspects
      • health policy
      • public perception
      • public policy
      • media
      • conspiracy theories
      • mix of half-truths
      • difficulty to get to necessary but sufficient conditions

      It continues to more than 40 logical and conceptual aspects that I extracted so far from Djokovic case.

      This article relates to a few of them, including law and statistics.

      ||Jovan||

    2. Maybe we make our decisions on the basis of vastly complex processes that bear very little resemblance to the explanations we give for our decisions. Maybe all or nearly all explanations are just post-hoc rationalisations.

      A very valid! Do we expect from AI more than we can do in explaining our reality and decisions.

    3. translate them into reasoning a human can understand.

      Our problem is that we cannot understand particular AI reasonong.

    4. giving the student an approximate rule and advising them that there are exceptions.

      ||aldo.matteucciATgmail.com|| You would love this principle.

    5. experiencing a poem means experiencing something too complicated to be explained systematically. I see this as having kinship with the conceptual richness problem, although it’s not quite the same thing.
    6. Poetry criticism:

      Ai and Poetry.

      Bi and Aldo, I know that you have been interested in poetry. Here is an interesting paragraph explaining that meaning of poetry could be reduced to AI challenge via limited possibility to explain our emotional experience while listening poetry.

      ||biscottATdiplomacy.edu||||aldo.matteucciATgmail.com||||Jovan||

    7. Partly the answer is a judgment call- I think that the statistics I gave were, broadly speaking, very fair.
    8. But that question contains a series of thick concepts- e.g “unusually bad period”, “economically speaking” “American working class”.
    9. “has the American working class had an unusually bad period, economically speaking, in the last 55+ years”.
    10. I would object to this objection that it was fairer on the whole just to look at the aggregate if we are to assess the position of the working class qua working class.

      Contextual 'weight'.

    11. The right often maintains that the law here is clear, and it is not the job of judges to legislate from the bench- even where the law will lead to tragedy as in this case.

      In the European legal tradition, it is tension between positivists (Kelsen) and naturalist (Grotious) on purpose and interpretation of law. Kelsen would be on the right side and Grotious on the left side of this debate.

    12. no Schelling point of literalism
    13. everyone in the room is interpreting the law in terms of policy goals and ethical values to some degree.
    14. So does this case break down into a Sophie’s choice between going with the law and going with morality?
    15. This is why sentiments like “the law is the law” are so silly
    16. Laws are designed as far as is possible to create socially desirable flexibility while avoiding socially undesirable uncertainty.

      Great statement!!!!

    17. it undermines the rule of law
    18. Unfortunately (or fortunately, depending on who you ask) because law cannot be turned into an algorithim we often face what contemporary legal scholars call legal indeterminacy- a situation in which there is no single right answer to many important legal questions.

      Was Australian court in this situation in Djokovic case?

    19. the Drefyus critique.

      Dreyfus wrote book What computers cannot do. He was republishing on each iteration of AI revolution showing limits of machines.

    20. at dealing with certain kinds of toy problems
    21. Symbolic AI tried to capture intelligence through explicit representations, operations using rules, etc.

      Early AI

    22. Philosophical work (e.g. Wittgenstein’s metaphor of family resemblance as a replacement for the idea of necessary and sufficient conditions) has informed many psychologists working on concepts in turn.

      Wittgenstein is in the core of the latest AI who shifted from initial ideas of mathematical causality towards resemblance.

    23. the apparent impossibility of finding necessary and sufficient conditions
    24. Even this ‘simple’ term, understood well enough that just about any native speaker could check whether a given use was right, wrong or dubious, cannot be turned into an algorithm.
    25. compact lists of necessary and sufficient conditions-.
    26. Maybe by teasing out the transdisciplinary nature of the problem, we’ll encourage cross-pollination, or at least that’s my hope.

      the key challenge for comprehensive AI.

    27. The conceptual richness problems are problems of trying to cope with thick concepts, either by (quixotically) trying to spell them out in all their detail and creating an algorithm, or by finding an alternative to having to spell them out.
    28. A thick concept is a concept for which we can check whether any given instance falls under that concept relatively easily.

      Can we have algorithm that would solve all aspects of Djokovic crisis?

    29. [A]spects of how to build AI systems such that they will aid rather than harm their creators.
    30. The problem is that if you give a super-powerful entity a goal- a value function- and it follows it literally- bad things can happen.
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    1. Two little things forced them together: history and geography.

      We often forget history and geogrpahy!

    2. illusion of permanence

      It is the key problem with modernity. We naively thought of 'end of history' even beyond Fukuyama. I learnt hard way limits of permanence by seeing Yugoslavia disappearing. With all its difficulties, Yugoslavia was the only reality for my generation on, in particular, deep emotional levels from supporting national team to cherishing rich cultural life. It has all powerful symbols of the 4th army in Europe, relatively efficient bureaucracy. But, it disappeared as if never existed. One collateral advantage was the lesson in vivo of illusion of permanence. In a way, we got an early preparation for era of the end of permanence from states to economic, legal and societal structure. Fasten seat belt!

    3. One of the many things Brexiters could never understand is this notion that the supposedly oppressive EU could be, for small nations, a route out of domination by bigger neighbours.)

      It is very interesting reflection. EU also helped Malta diversify economy from Italy and UK. It is seriously understudied aspect of the EU as power equaliser. Is it the case? Could it apply to Cyprus/Greece or dependence of Central European economies on Germany?

      ||victor.camilleriATgmail.com||

    4. one of profound and deeply rooted animosity, the other of intense cooperation

      we have to handle inherent paradoxes.

    5. made it clear the British state had no interest in acknowledging what had happened

      Can governments accept their wrong-doing and/or mistakes? It would be interesting how they accept mistakes and learn from it?

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    1. This is a very soldi analysis of the current geopolitical and geeeconomic situation. I will reflect on it in the 2022 predictions.

      There is an interesting qualification of three types of companies:

      • globalist (keen to maintain global Internet in order to benefit from global market)
      • nationalists (benefit mainly from big government contracts)
      • techno-utopianism (trying to overcome traditional government-centered world).

      He tried to put companies in these three 'baskets' but they belong in different baskets. Microsoft is globalist with its 'diplomacy' while benefiting from big contracts in its 'nationalist' role. Microsoft also started playing with 'utopian role'. I would be most sceptical of 'techno-utopian' role. With exception of bitcoin, it is not reality. Most techno-utopians in this classification are 'in bed' with governments (Elon Mask, Facebook, etc.).

    2. Only by updating our understanding of theirgeopolitical power can we make better sense of this brave new digitalworld.
    3. no longer tenable to talk about big technology companies aspawns their government masters can move around on a geopoliticalchessboard
    4. the techno-utopians will usetraditional companies and decentralized projects, such as Ethereum, toexplore new frontiers in digital space, such as the metaverse, or newapproaches to providing essential service
    5. e. e Chineseglobalists will argue that the CCP’s ability to sustain robust growth—andtherefore domestic legitimacy—will ride on whether China can establishitself as a hub of global innovation.
    6. ey will also press for greater decoupling,arguing that their vital work needs maximum protection from adversarialhacking.
    7. If they manage to establishthemselves as “the indispensable companies”
    8. e United States believes that its foremostgeopolitical imperative is to prevent its displacement by its techno-authoritarian rival. China’s top priority is to ensure that it can stand onits own two feet economically and technologically before a coalition ofadvanced industrial democracies sties its further expansion.
    9. the Internet was that itwould accelerate the globalization that transformed economics andpolitics in the 1990s.
    10. people are so accustomed tothinking of the state as the principal problem-solving actor.
    11. Facebook substitutes forthe public square, civil society, and the social safety net, creating ablockchain-based currency that gains widespread usage
    12. drawing citizens into a digital economy that disintermediates the state.
    13. give Europe achance to reassert itself as a savvy bureaucratic player capable ofdesigning the rules that allow technology companies and governments toshare sovereignty in digital space.
    14. In the case ofWashington, that means pulling back from an industrial policy designedto convince companies that they can thrive as national champions; forBeijing, it means preserving the independence and autonomy of theprivate sector.
    15. . eirworst fear is that the United States and China will continue to decouple,forcing them to choose sides in an economic war that will raise barriersto their attempts to globalize their business
    16. Tencent is also a globalist butcooperates far more deeply with China’s internal security apparatus thanAlibaba.
    17. Apple and Google would arguably have the most to gain from thisoutcome.

      All companies will gain. In particular, Facebook. I would not put Apple and Google in the same basket. Apple has much more diverse income with selling hardware. Google is after FAcebook the most vulnerable on any regulatory turmoil.

    18. will harm innovation and,ultimately, governments’ ability to create jobs and meet global challenges.

      Is this narrative still 'holding'

    19. regulators accept that governments willshare sovereignty over digital space with technology companies
    20. the state’s position as the provider of last resort in therst place.
    21. ueling impressions inBeijing that Taiwan is being dragged further into the U.S. orbit
    22. Facebook might have the hardest timenavigating a landscape that favored national champions if it is seen asproviding a platform for foreign disinformation without also oeringuseful assets for the government
    23. itraises costs and regulatory risks for companies

      A possible reason for 'global deal' in digital politics.

    24. . e increasingly fragmented nature of the Internet,
    25. As the United States and China decouple, companies that can recastthemselves as national champions are rewarded
    26. Europe’s technology sector has little choice but to follow Washington’sagenda.

      it is most likey but not certain development.

    27. Europe is the big loser here, as it lackstechnology companies with the nancial capacity or technologicalwherewithal to hold their own against those of the two major powers.
    28. Systemicshocks, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, and long-term threats, such asclimate change, coupled with a public backlash against the power oftechnology rms, entrench government authority as the only force thatcan resolve global challenges.
    29. one in which the state reigns supreme,rewarding the national champions; one in which corporations wrestcontrol from the state over digital space, empowering the globalists; orone in which the state fades away, elevating the techno-utopians.

      Interesting dilemma. Worth discussion.

    30. If it tightens its grip too much, it risksharming the country itself by smothering innovation.

      It is typical 'mantra'. I am not sure it is such binary situation. Both GAFA and Alibaba prospered because of favourable regulatory space. Yes, they had an idea and innovation. But, it was nutured a lot. Innovation is not just a matter of genius in garage (if it ever was the case).

    31. thereum’s design includes smartcontracts, which enable the parties to a transaction to embed the terms ofdoing business into hard-to-alter computer code. Entrepreneurs haveseized on the technology and the surrounding hype to cook up newbusinesses, including betting markets, nancial derivatives, and paymentsystems that are almost impossible to alter or abolish once they have beenlaunched. Although much of this innovation to date has been in thenancial realm, some proponents believe that blockchain technology anddecentralized apps

      There is an interesting prospect here. But, it remains to be seen if big power players (tech and governments) will let 'automation of trust' as one of the key economic and political relations. I am pessimistic about it because 'automation of trust' could shaken basis of economic, political and religious life. In essence, it would shaken last 22 centuries of human history.

    32. Whereas globalists want the state to leave them alone

      Not sure. Globalist are increasingly seeking regulation in order to fortify their power nationally and globally.

      This was their view 10 years ago (definitely before Snowden) while they were 'grabbing' digital markets.

    33. Microsoft’s growing role in policingdigital space on behalf of the United States and allied democracies andtargeting misinformation spread by state actors

      The media focus on Facebook ignored Microsoft's enormous influence. Most of the UN runs on Microsoft. But, Microsoft has much more experience than GAFAs in interacting with governments and international organisations (e.g. language, legal positioning, etc.).

    34. in “mask diplomacy”by shipping badly needed medical supplies to needy countries to enhanceChina’s soft power.
    35. Huawei andSMIC are China’s core national champions in 5G and semiconductors
    36. Governments and technology companies arepoised to compete for inuence over both worlds—hence the need for abetter framework for understanding what the companies’ goals are andhow their power interacts with that of governments in both domains.
    37. If Europeanstates want greater control of the technology sector, they’re going to haveto invest much more money.

      It is true!

    38. whether a group of companies operating under greatergovernment supervision can still produce cutting-edge digitalinfrastructure that is globally competitive.

      The third element should be bottom-up development of communiteis regaining control of their data and patterns (AI.

    39. l. e EUand inuential member states, such as France, are also calling fortechnology-focused industrial policies—including billions of euros ofgovernment funding—to encourage new approaches to pooling data andcomputing resources

      It is the key for new EU approach to digital policy. They succeded with Airbus. Why not to try with another high tech product?

    40. In the United States, a combination ofcongressional dysfunction and Silicon Valley’s potent lobbying power willlikely continue to preclude expansive new regulations that could pose aserious threat to the digital giants. It is dierent in Europe, where thelack of homegrown cloud, search, and social media conglomerates makespassing ambitious legislation easier. And it is certainly dierent in China,where a recent round of regulatory crackdowns has sent shares of thecountry’s own technology heavyweights reeling.

      This is fair and correct analysis.

    41. China created the so-called Great Firewall to control theinformation its citizens see, and the United States’ spy agenciesestablished the echelon surveillance system to monitor globalcommunications.

      It is fair and rare for American author to recognise that two systems in the way they operate are similar. The only difference is more chances for democratic control in the USA. Exactly, similar 'modus operandi' opens the risk for convergence and potential global duopoly.

    42. Companies are subject tonational laws

      this is simple and the key!

    43. Governments aretaking steps to tame an unruly digital sphere:

      Governments are also back due to COVID-19. Everybody realsied what it means to control 'physical space'.

    44. s. e biggesttechnology companies are building the backbone of the digital world andpolicing that world at the same time.
    45. Private-sector technology rms are also providing national security, a rolethat has traditionally been reserved for governments and the defensecontractors they hire.
    46. they are increasingly providing a full spectrum ofboth the digital and the real-world products that are required to run amodern society.
    47. they are also shaping behaviorsand interactions

      this is the major problem.

    48. eople are increasingly living out their lives inthis vast territory, which governments do not and cannot fully control.

      Govenrments can control. What would be the price of this control? Would they want to do it?

      Currently, there is one 'experiment in vivo' with Chinese governments trying to limit children access to online games. It has to be followed carefully in order to see what governments can (not) do even if they have power as Chinese government have.

    49. It is onething to wield power in the smoke-lled rooms of political powerbrokers; it is another to directly aect the livelihoods, relationships,security, and even thought patterns of billions of people across the globe.

      Good point. Penetration is much deeper.

    50. by atechno-elite that assumes responsibility for oering the public goodsonce provided by governments?

      It is valid point. Apple has market capitalisation of 3 trillion while whole GDP of Africa isn 2.6 billlion. Apple does not have to take care of health, educaiton, roads as African governments do. Should we just ask Apple to provide public good or tax them and keep this in hands of governments or...?

    51. Big Techdecisively wrest control of digital space from governments, freeing itselffrom national boundaries and emerging as a truly global force

      What is digital space? it does not exist legally and politically. What exists is dependence of society on tech companies and risks of curbing their power. There is no government that would allow to have thousands people on the streets if they stop access to Facebook or Twitter.

    52. there are three broad forces thatare driving their geopolitical postures and worldviews: globalism,nationalism, and techno-utopianism.

      it sounds interesting. Let us see if it will bring something new or being just 'academic spin'?

    53. digitalspace

      Digital or cyber space does not exist in legal and political terms. Anything happening online is ultimately anchored into geography. Even data are 'physical' as they are carried by electrons. They go through cables which are under some national jurisdiciton. They are stored on servers in some national jurisdiciton, etc.

    54. l. esecompanies are increasingly shaping the global environment in whichgovernments operate. ey have huge inuence over the technologies andservices that will drive the next industrial revolution, determine howcountries project economic and military power, shape the future of work,and redene social contracts

      It is true. It is important part of my 2022 prediciton

    55. . e same goes for Chinese technologycompanies, such as Alibaba, ByteDance, and Tencent.

      It is not the case. Jack Ma disappeared. Chinese tech company never had 'authotone power'. They were let do things till the moment they had to be stopped as it happened last year.

    56. se technology companies’ reactions

      Their reaction was 'efficient' without any legitimacy. if we argue for 'efficiency' it is informed choice with many consequences for democracy and ultimately human freedom and dignity.

      You cannot 'cherry-pick' by dealing with 'Trump problem' with hope that it won't have other far-reaching consequences.

      I am fine that we have 'mental game' of having tech companies running our society. Obviously, I am storngly against it. But, I am also strongly for clear cut decision when it comes to such important developments. We cannot slide into slavery. We should 'decide' (if we want).

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    1. Finnish-US undersea cable to strengthen Europe’s digital trade with Asia

      Was it done on the purpose (click-bite)? It is a bit strange that Finnish-US cable strenghten trade between Europe and Asia.

      Please check if it (un)intentional and change if it is needed.

      ||AndrijanaG||||StephanieBP||||sorina||

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    1. For defense contractors, war means massive profits by definition. In just the last few years, the U.S. has spent more than $2 billion on military aid to this nation called Ukraine that most people couldn't identify on a map. Just the other day, the administration announced $200 million more. 
    2. Polls show that most Americans are completely opposed to fighting Russia over Ukraine because they're not demented.
    3. The core problem is that in America, elected officials no longer decide when we go to war, as in, say, a democracy. 

      This is very scary.

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    1. to rising productivity

      It is not the case according to the World Bank Report.

    2. And Europe may soon pass a sweeping Digital Markets Act, aimed at regulating big technology companies “ex ante”—that is, constraining such firms’ behaviour upfront, rather than punishing them later with antitrust cases

      ||StephanieBP||||Pavlina|| We will need to follow emergence of DMA carefully.

    3. there are the decentralised blockchain services owned and operated by users, loosely known as Web3.

      ||sorina|| Let us use Web3 in our survey of technologies

    4. but future forms of AI may not.

      ||JovanNj||||anjadjATdiplomacy.edu|| It is our hope to develop AI on small set of data (data generated by Diplo via textus interaction, etc.)

    5. The problem is that nobody knows what it will be. But it will probably involve new physical devices that will supersede the smartphone as the dominant means of connecting people to information and services. Whoever makes such devices will therefore control access to users. This explains why Apple is planning a virtual-reality headset to compete with Meta’s Oculus range and Microsoft’s HoloLens. Alphabet, Apple and Amazon have also all placed expensive bets on autonomous cars. And vast sums are being spent on designing specialised chips, and pursuing new approaches like quantum computing, to provide the processing power for whatever new devices emerge.

      ||sorina|| Most likely developments will go in tow direction:

      • on front-end side there will be new devices - glasses, IoTs, ec.
      • on back-end side there will be powerful processing systems using quantum computing, etc.
    6. were brought down not by regulators, but by missing the next big thing.

      it is behind Gartner curve and hyp

    7. Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta and Microsoft—call them MAAMA.

      This is new acronym MAAMA ||sorina||||StephanieBP||||AndrijanaG||||VladaR||

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    1. it is crucial that concerted UN-backed Contact Group diplomacy

      it is an interesting idea to use again 'contact groups'. Most likely they will happen in G-20 context, which is the last example of successful diplomacy during financial crisis.

    2. a third actor could set a match to the whole system of rival alliances—much as was the case for the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand in July 1914.

      In highly interconnected world without 'control mechanism' against conflicts, 1914-Sarajevo scenario is very likely to happen.

    3. The fear of alliance defection could then impel Washington to whip its allies into line by making them spend even more money on defense—even though the U.S. itself already spends more on the military than 11 countries combined.

      This is a good explanation of the current arm-race.

    4. more like the alliance systems before World War I and World War II than like the “bicentric” Cold War.

      Good analogy

    5. The winner of such a war could be the side that possesses the most advanced technological capabilities and systems of Artificial Intelligence.

      It is common point but false. AI cannot determine outcome of nuclear war conflict. it can enhance power during peace-time. Robots and AI could be used in the case of traditional conflicts. But, AI cannot stop missiles, especially hyper-sonic ones.

    6. make “limited” nuclear war possible in certain regions

      limited nuclear war is very likely to happen

    7. The Cold War doctrine of Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) is dead
    8. Likewise, China’s dam and water policies are augmenting regional tensions by creating friction with Thailand, Laos, and Vietnam over the Mekong River. China’s diversion of rivers in Xinjiang has had a devastating downstream impact upon Central Asia while its plan to dam the Brahmaputra river in the Himalayas has enraged India.

      Great point that there are serious trade-offs in any energy and environmental policy

    9. the fact that Beijing is seeking to monopolize its political control over the “rare earth” resources that are needed for the new “green” economy has begun to spur worldwide neo-imperialist rivalries for access to, and control over, those resources.
    10. The neoliberal belief that economic inter-dependence will help prevent major power wars does not apply to Imperial Germany whose economic inter-dependence with Britain did not prevent World War I.
    11. Interstate wars thus become more likely when political elites call for national unity and alliance solidarity in the effort to deflect attention from both domestic quarrels and international tensions—rather than fully engaging in both domestic socio-economic reforms and full-fledged diplomacy with foreign rivals.

      It is very valid point and the reason why I think major conflict is inevitable.

    12. more extensive social and political conflicts

      It is one of the major problems since all actors with internal instability and, in particular Russia and `USA, will try to 'export' internal instability via external conflicts that may galvanise population and bypass internal tensions.

    13. through proxy wars

      this is the major problem. There are not any more 'proxy wars' as buffers. They area heading against each other in Ukraine and Taiwan. It reduces room for manouver and space for signalling and de-escalation.

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    1. Interactive Geo Maps - WP Plugin

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    1. Upload tools for adding your own markers and other map elements. For instance, you may want to add a hamburger icon to identify restaurants on your map.
    2. Full interactivity, with features for clicking to get directions and viewing more information like phone numbers and store hours.
    3. Options to place your maps in other places besides pages. We like to see shortcodes and widgets for sidebars, posts, and footers.
    4. Support for quick geographical searches using coordinates or addresses. It shouldn’t be required to have the exact coordinates of a place when making a map since no one knows these and it takes a while to find them online. Mapmaking excels with rapid address search tools.
    5. Survey of mapping software for WP

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    1. Multistakeholder model is increasingly challenged especially from development communities. Here is an interesting book which we plan to read together in order to see how this type of analysis impacts digital and Internet governance.

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    1. This text covers metaverse and the future of the Internet in the following areas:

      • technology
    2. It’s a huge undertaking that would require standardization and cooperation among tech giants, who are not prone to collaborating with competitors

      ||sorina|| Something relevan fro you

    3. The boy straps on his headset, reminiscent of a pair of VR goggles, and escapes into a trippy virtual universe, dubbed “Oasis.”
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    1. Companies will struggle with how their apps affect kids' mental health and safety

      ||StephanieBP|| Quite a few things on kids and children.

    2. They would also force companies to crack down more on harmful content, such as child sex abuse and terrorism, and give users more control over how their data is used to target ads.
    3. to protecting kids and teens online.
    4. Democrats want laws that force tech companies to take down more harmful content. Republicans say the platforms censor conservative views, despite evidence showing that right-wing content and figures thrive on social media.
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    1. We won’t tell you what to think about the future, but how to think about it.

      good for our course

    2. critical but not cynical;
    3. shouldn’t shy away from pushing the envelope either
    4. this or that invention would “change everything.”
    5. But whatever the story, you should find something to learn from it—and, ideally, the inspiration to make a positive difference yourself.
    6. You cannot explain the impacts of technology on the world without deeply understanding the motives, incentives, and limitations of the people who build and use it.
    7. What would it take to build a better future?
    8. a false dichotomy
    9. This tug-of-war between optimism and pessimism is the reason why I said this feels like an inflection point in the history of tech
    10. Blockchain is either the most radical invention of the century or a worthless shell game. The metaverse is either the next incarnation of the internet or just an ingeniously vague label for a bunch of overhyped things that will mostly fail. Personalized medicine will revolutionize health care or just widen its inequalities. Facebook has either destroyed democracy or revolutionized society. Every issue is divisive and tribal. And it’s generally framed as a judgment on the tech itself—“this tech is bad” vs. “this tech is good”—instead of looking at the underlying economic, social, and personal forces that actually determine what that tech will do.

      Exampels of binary logic

    11. Yet debates about tech, like those about politics or social issues, still seem to always collapse into either/or.
    12. an intelligent person should be able to hold opposed ideas in their mind simultaneously and still function.
    13. to think tech itself was the solution—and that we’d now be equally wrong to treat tech as the problem.
    14. with rejecting the binary
    15. What does it mean to be WIRED, a publication born to celebrate technology, in an age when tech is often demonized?
    16. Today, a great deal of media coverage focuses on the damage wrought by a tech industry run amok.
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