- Apr 2022
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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The thinking space for current developments is shaped by political ideals and philosophy. We cannot understand our period or work on prospective answers for crises, such as the war in Ukraine, unless we comprehend deeper thought origins of our era. This text discusses the Ukraine war by revisiting ideas that influenced Putin and the Russian elite.
On the operational front, some analysts, such as John Mearsheimer, have cautioned that NATO's expansion into Russia's borders could provoke confrontation.
However, beyond the tactical, there are ideas and concepts that have shaped Putin and the Russian elite's thinking.
Several intellectuals, including
Vladislav Surkov is a Kremlin-connected adviser. He proposed the ideology of Russian "sovereign democracy," which is the authoritarian style of mild liberalism that Russia has been practicing since 2006.
IIvan Ilyn is Russian philosopher who died in exile in Switzerland in 1954. As a vehement opponent of the Bolsheviks, he advocated not only against Communism, but also against Western liberalism. In his view that classic autocracy is the right approach for Russia, he echoed Dostoevsky's thinking. Ilyin argued in his main work, 'Our Side,' that Russia had a duty to preserve its traditional autocracy and reject Western liberalism.
The Russian political elite began to be inspired also by 'the Justification of the Good' (Vladimir Solovyov) and 'Philosophy of Inequality' (Vladimir Solovyov) (Nicholas Berdyaev). These three authors, Ilyn, Solovyov, and Berdyaev, are sometimes cited as the fathers of the "Russian idea," which is based on the historical uniqueness, distinctive vocation, and worldwide purpose of the Russian people and, by extension, the Russian state.
Most of these ideas were brought closer to our time by Alexander Dugin, who developed 'Fourth Political Theory' as a synthesis of Neo-paganism, Slavic Nativism, and Eastern Orthodox traditions.
In his book 'Foundations of Geopolitics,' Dugin describes liberal postmodernity as humanity's fundamental threat, based on these three pillars of "Atlanticism": liberalism, free markets, and democracy. As counter-forces, he recommends hierarchy, tradition, and a strict legal structure.
As a practical response to 'atlanticism,' Dugin recommended destabilizing three actions: destabilising internal political processes in the United States, Britain's withdrawal from the European Union, and Russia's annexation.
All of these books are essential background reading for understanding Putin's and Russia's elite's thinking as they shift from Western modernity to Russian social conservatism. Russian history has happened in this swinging between modernity and conservativism. It remains to be seen how this transformation will unfold with huge impact not only
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- Feb 2022
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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This article provides a solid analysis of an interplay in strategic triangle between USA - China - Russia.
It is game of chess or go, where different 'geometries' are appearing:
- China is interested to support Russia in confrontation with USA in Europe in order to reduce USA and NATO presence in Indo-Pacific.
- Trump played more on 'Russian card' against China. Biden administration slightly engaged with Russia in Geneva in order to free 'hands' for Indo-Pacific. But, it is not certain if it will work due to Ukraina crisis.
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- Jan 2022
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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This article provides a solid and balanced analysis of Putin's claim that NATO's expansion towards East has been breach of deal which was made between USA and Soviet Union in1990s.
This text provides necessary context for understanding 1990s and the end of the cold war.
Legally speaking it misses on a few points like most of commentators in the recent crisis:
- international agreements do not need to be signed. Agreed text in the form of treaty provides clarity as it would in this case. It is unclear if there was 'agreement' or tactical probing during the re-unification of Germany.
- even if agreements are signed there are two - sometimes - contradicting principles of international law: pacta sunt servanda and rebus sic stantibus. The first one stipulates that you must observe agreement as it is written. Second one stipulates that agreement could be interpreted and implemented in accordance to changing context.
Article also misses deeper historical context. Namely, in Russian 'collective consciousness' there a deep fear from invasion that dates back to Mongoles and more recently with Napoleon and Hitler. It dates back to invasions from the East by Mongoles Ginggis Cthere is a very deep fear in Russia from invasion. It is shaped by huge territory of plains wihtout any major barrier towards West. For example, one of rare issues with consensus in Russia is fear of invasion following strong historical memory of Napoleon and Hitler. There is saying that 'Russian liberalism ends at the border with Ukraine.” which is proven by Navalny's views on 'state issues' in Russia.
Here is a crucial dynamics of the current crisis. While Putin exploites this deep fear in dealing with Ukraina, there is a risk that Navalny or anyone else may be even more radical in order to prove 'his/her statehood credentials'.
All in all, this crisis has to be managed on different levels. The first step would be to safe Ukrainians from becoming victim of something which was and is currently beyond their influence and overall reach.
History, as always, must be handled with utmost care!
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- Dec 2021
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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the ‘Priority 2030’ academic leadership program
to learn more about this project
||Jovan||
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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The Kremlin will increase pressure on Google to fall into line: it may slow down its search engine and impose fines. And it will continue to develop its own video-hosting platform, RuTube, to which it can move popular content, then switch off YouTube if necessary. Restoring a monopoly over information is central to Mr Putin’s power. The war over the internet will define Russia’s near future.
Russian approach for controlling the Internet
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It has installed equipment and compelled providers to hamper access to Twitter so that pictures and videos do not upload. It has threatened the Russian staff of Apple and Google with criminal proceedings in order to remove Mr Navalny’s app from their stores. Media organisations and journalists have been declared “foreign agents”, making it almost impossible to operate in Russia.
Anti-Internet actions of the Russian authorities
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- Nov 2021
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tass.com tass.com
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Russia is pushing for
- the stronger role of the ITU in IG,
- negotiations of cybercrime convention
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- Sep 2021
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www.diplomacy.edu www.diplomacy.edu
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along with this digital space some countries view outer space as an arena for confrontation we deem it to be a dangerous trend and propose to prohibit placement of weapons in outer space and the threat or use of force in it the relevant russian chinese draft treaty remains on the table of the conference on disarmament
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linked with a prospect of the russian-american dialogue on the future of arms control the start of which was agreed upon at the russian american summit in geneva where there is good will finding a mutually acceptable solution is very realistic the world was encouraged when the new u.s administration agreed to our proposal to extend the new strategic arms reduction treaty without any preconditions of great importance wasthe fact that the russian and u.s president's joint statement reaffirmed the commitment to the principle according to which there can be no winners in a nuclear war and one must never be fought
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estatements.unmeetings.org estatements.unmeetings.org
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While our commitment to be a true global citizen is unstoppable and cannot be hindered by outside forces, the very freedom we have fought so hard for is being challenged every single day. On our very own soil in the Abkhazia and Tskhinvali regions, we are observing a humanitarian crisis, and the responsibility resides only with the occupying power
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estatements.unmeetings.org estatements.unmeetings.org
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We reject the attempts to expand NATO’s presence up to the Russian borders; the interference in Russia’s affairs with regard to its sovereignty and the imposition of unilateral and unjust sanctions against that country.
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estatements.unmeetings.org estatements.unmeetings.org
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Meanwhile, Russia's military intimidation campaign against Ukrainecontinues. This confirmsthe need for the international community to support Ukraine's independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity. 45.Latvia sees the newly established International Crimean Platformas a valuable format for keeping the issue of Crimean de-occupationon the international agenda. We call for the widest possible engagementof the international community in the Crimean Platform.Furthermore, the frozen conflicts in the Moldovan territory of Transnistria and the Georgian territories of Abkazia and South Ossetia, should be solved in accordance with international law, with full respect for the territorial integrity of Moldova and Georgia.
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estatements.unmeetings.org estatements.unmeetings.org
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Unfortunately,tragicdevelopmentsareunfoldingalsoclosetothePolishborderandIhavetheimpressionthathumanityseemstohaveforgottenaboutthem.Furthermore,thepandemichasnotstoppedthewarinUkrainewhereover13thousandpeoplediedsincethebeginningoftheRussianaggressionwithonestateseizingtheterritoryofanother.WhatwastheresponseoftherichNorthtothedramaoftheUkrainiannationfightingforitsindependence?TheresponsewastheconstructionofalargeNordStream2gaspipelinewhichwillcarryRussiangastoWesternEuropebringingfurtherbillionsinrevenuetotheaggressorandcompletehelplessnessorevenindifferencetothefactthatfromthatmomentonUkrainewillfinditselfinanevenbiggerdanger.RecentlyIhaveattendedtheCrimeaPlatformSummitinKievbeingoneoffewleadersrepresentingtherichNorth.IsearchedwithmyeyesforthosewhohaveconstructedandapprovedtheconstructionofNordStream2.Ididnotfindthem
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- Jun 2021
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With that, I will take your questions.
press conference - Putin
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