- Jul 2023
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deliverypdf.ssrn.com deliverypdf.ssrn.com
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In this classroom, each student should not only have the opportunity to practice but also actively participate in discussions, creating an inclusive and deeply participatory learning environment.
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Teaching others is a more powerful learning technique than re-reading or summarizing
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ssues that keep teams from fulfilling their potential, as process loss and these include social loafing (when individuals put forth less effort when working in a group) and groupthink (when group members’ desire for conformity can lead to bad decisions)
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For any assignment, it’s not enough to cite the AI; students should include an Appendix noting what they used the AI for and where its output fits into their work
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you should try it out a number of times for your specific topic or concept and see how it reacts
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ecause the AI can “get it wrong” students need to be aware of those limits and discussing this inclass is oneway to highlight its limitations
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the tutor's value is not merely subject knowledge, but also their capacity to prompt the student to make an effort, pay close attention to the material, make sense of new concepts, andconnect what they know with new knowledge
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utoring involves small group or one-on-one sessions with a tutor focusing on skills building.
Q: What does tutoring involve?
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hat feedback should be considered critically, and students should be asked to articulate how and why the feedback they received is effective (or not).
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while the feedback may be helpful it should be coupled with an in-class discussion and clear guidelines
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feed-up, feedback, and feed-forward. Feed-up serves to clearly articulatethe goals and expectations students are to meet. Feedbackreflects students' current progress and pinpoints areas requiring further development; it provides actionable advice, helpingstudents to achievetheir goals. Feed-forward helps teachers plan and tweak their lessons based on student work
Components of feedback: feed-up, feedback, and feed-forwards
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they aremost common when asking for quotes, sources, citations, or other detailed information
When hallucination is most likely to appear in LLMs.
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miniszterelnok.hu miniszterelnok.hu
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national unification programme for 2030
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www.gov.uk www.gov.uk
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ovators and th
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www.whitehouse.gov www.whitehouse.gov
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significant model public releases within scope
! Also, what is 'significant'?
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introduced after the watermarking system is developed
!
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reat unreleased AI model weights for models in scope as core intellectual property for their business,
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establishor joina forum or mechanism through which they can develop, advance, and adopt shared standards and best practices for frontier AI safety,
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Companies commit to advancing this area of research, and to developing a multi-faceted, specialized, and detailed red-teaming regime, including drawing on independent domain experts, for all major public releases of new models within scope
So applying to what comes next...
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Where commitments mention particular models, they apply only to generative models that are overall more powerful than the current industry frontier (
Very interesting... Not quite sure what is meant by 'particular models', though. ||JovanK||
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hese voluntary commitmentsto remain in effect until regulations covering substantially the same issues come into force
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designed to advancea generative AI legal and policy regime
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Realizing the promise and minimizing the risk of AI will require new laws, rules, oversight, and enforcement.
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only a first step in developing and enforcing binding obligations to ensure safety, security, and trus
commitments to be followed by binding obligations
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www.whitehouse.gov www.whitehouse.gov
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the Administration will work with allies and partners to establish a strong international framework to govern the development and use of AI.
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robust technical mechanisms to ensure that users know when content is AI generated
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will be carried out in part by independent experts
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immediately
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arxiv.org arxiv.org
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ollaborative could acquire or develop and then distribute AI systems to address these gaps, poolingresources from member states and international development programs, working with frontier AIlabs to provide appropriate technology, and partnering with local businesses, NGOs, and beneficiarygovernments to better understand technological needs and overcome barriers to use
What would be the relation with big tech companies?
And 'acquire' how?
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cquiresand distributes AI systems
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institutions taking on the role of several of the models above
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ssed by offering safety researchers withinAI labs dual appointments or advisory roles in the Project,
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it diverts safety research away from the sites of frontier AI development.
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such an effort would likely be spearheaded byfrontier risk-conscious actors like the US and UK governments, AGI labs and civil society groups
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ccelerate AI safety researchby increasing its scale, resourcing and coordination, thereby expanding the ways in which AI canbe safely deployed, and mitigating risks stemming from powerful general purpose capabilities
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xceptional leaders and governancestructures
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an institution with significant compute, engineering capacity and access tomodels (obtained via agreements with leading AI developers), and would recruit the world’s leadingexperts
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n AI Safety Project need not be, and should beorganized to benefit from the AI Safety expertise in civil society and the private sector
And funded how?
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like ITER and CERN.
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conduct technical AI safety research26at an ambitious scale
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y to exclude from participation states who are likely to want to useAI technology in non-peaceful ways, or make participation in a governance regime the preconditionfor membership
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consistently implement the necessary controls to manage frontiersystem
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he Collaborative to have a clear mandateand purpose
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diffusing dangerous AI technologies around theworld, if the most powerful AI systems are general purpose, dual-use, and proliferate easily.
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would need to significantly promote access to the benefits of advanced AI (objective1), or put control of cutting-edge AI technology in the hands of a broad coalition (objective 2)
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he resourcesrequired to overcome these obstacles is likely to be substantial,
Indeed.
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nderstanding the needs of membercountries, building absorptive capacity through education and infrastructure, and supporting thedevelopment of a local commercial ecosystem to make use of the technology
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being deployed for “protective” purposes
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ncrease global resilience to misusedor misaligned AI systems
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existence of a technologicallyempowered neutral coalition may also mitigate the destabilizing effects of an AI race betweenstates
feasible?
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access to its safe technology could be offered as an incentivefor countries to participate in a governance regime that enforces responsibility (such as agreementsto enact stricter regulation, or restrict military AI development).
But the cynical question would be: If country X has the research and development capacities to develop advanced AI, why would it want access to the tech of this Collaborative?
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reduce geopolitical instability amidst fierce AI competition among states
hmm
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ensure the benefits ofcutting-edge AI reach groups that are otherwise underserved by AI developmen
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legitimate international access to advanced AI
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a Frontier AICollaborative could take the form of an international private-public partnership that leverages existingtechnology and capacity in industry, for example by contracting access to or funding innovation inappropriate AI technology from frontier AI developers.
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ligned countries may seek to form governance clubs, asthey have in other domains. This facilitates decision-making, but may make it harder to enlist othercountries later in the process
Budapest Convention is a case in point
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its effectiveness will depend on its membership, governance and standard-setting processes
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Governance Organization should focus primarily on advanced AI systems thatpose significant global risks, but it will be difficult in practice to decide on the nature and sophisti-cation of AI tools that should be broadly available and uncontrolled versus the set of systems thatshould be subject to national or international governance
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Automated (even AI-enabled) monitoring
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some states may be especially reluctant to join due to fear of clandestinenoncompliance by other states
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Other AI-specific incentives for participation include conditioning on participationaccess to AI technology (possibly from a Frontier AI Collaborative) or computing resources.22Statesmight also adopt import restrictions on AI from countries that are not certified by a GovernanceOrganization
Surely interesting. Though in the current geopolitical context, it is not difficult to imagine how this would work.
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while urgent risks may need to be addressed at first by smallergroups of frontier AI states, or aligned states with relevant expertise
Geopolitics come to play again? Surely 'frontier AI states' is different from 'aligned states'.
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The impact of a Governance Organization depends on states adoptingits standards and/or agreeing to monitoring.
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standard setting (especially in an international and multistakeholder context) tends to be a slowprocess
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detection and inspections of large data centers
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self-reporting of compliance with international standards
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Where states have incentives to undercut each other'sregulatory commitments, international institutions may be needed to support and incentivize bestpractices. That may require monitoring standards compliance.
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therefore enable greater access to advanced AI
Implementing international standards enables greater access to tech?
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international standard setting wouldreduce cross-border frictions due to differing domestic regulatory regimes
If those standards (whatever we mean by them...) are taken up broadly.
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uture regulations will limit access to powerful AI technologies in jurisdictions with inadequate AIgovernanc
Assuming those jurisdictions won't be able to develop their own powerful AI tech?
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he InternationalTelecommunication Union (ITU)
In what sense?
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Advanced AI Governance Organization.
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intergovernmental or multi-stakeholder
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as less institutionalizedand politically authoritative scientific advisory panels on advanced AI
So a advisory panel stands more chances of reaching that consensus than a commission?
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epresentation may trade off against a Commission’s ability to overcomescientific challenges and generate meaningful consensus
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broad geographic representation in the main decisionmaking bodies, and a predominance of scientificexperts in working groups
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he scientific understanding of the impacts of AI should ideally beseen as a universal good and not be politicized
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foundational “Conceptual Framework
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Commission might undertake activities that draw andfacilitate greater scientific attention, such as organizing conferences and workshops and publishingresearch agenda
:))
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o increase chances of success, aCommission should foreground scientific rigor and the selection of highly competent AI expertswho work at the cutting edge of technological development and who can continually interpret theever-changing technological and risk landscape
Sounds good; with the devil being in implementation. E.g." Whose standards would determine what is 'highly competent' AI expert?
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internationally representative group of experts
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there is significant disagreement even among experts about the different opportunities andchallenges created by advanced AI
And so what makes us think that these disagreements would evolve into a consensus if a committee is created?
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International consensus on the opportunities and risks from advanced AI
What does 'international consensus' mean?
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the Commission on Frontier AI could facilitatescientific consensus by convening experts to conduct rigorous and comprehensive assessments ofkey AI topics, such as interventions to unlock AI’s potential for sustainable development, the effectsof AI regulation on innovation, the distribution of benefits, and possible dual-use capabilities fromadvanced systems and how they ought to be managed
What a Commission on Frontier AI would do.
Silly question: Why 'frontier AI'?
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intergovernmental body
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dangerous inputs: computing resources have been targeted by US, Japanese and Dutch export controlsthat prevent the sale of certain AI chips and semiconductor manufacturing equipment to Chin
So 'controlling dangerous inputs' is actually about preventing non-friendly countries to access/develop the tech?
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norms and standards
Are norms and standards rules?
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standards
Again, what kind of standards are we talking about?
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Establish guidelines
Don't we have enough of these?
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through education, infrastructure, andsupport of the local commercial ecosystem
So building capacities and creating enabling environments
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develop frontier AI collectively or distribute and enable access
A bunch of questions here. It sounds good, but:
- Collectively by whom?
- How exactly would that distribution of access work?
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developing and/or enabling safe forms of access to AI.
What does this mean?
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ontrolling AIinputs
How could this be done?
||JovanNj|| Any thoughts?
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tobuild consensus on risksand how they can be mitigated,andset safety norms and standardsandsupport their implementationto help developers and regulators with responsible developmentand use. International efforts toconduct or support AI safety research
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national regulation may be ineffective for managing the risks of AI even within states. States willinevitably be impacted by the development of such capabilities in other jurisdictions
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building capacity to benefit from AI through education, infrastructure, andlocal commercial ecosystems
Building capacity is always good. Not quite sure whose capacities are we talking about here and how/who would build them.
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build consensus on AI opportunities
Do we really need to build consensus on this?
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Standards
The more we talk/write about standards, the more I feel we need a bit of clarity here as well: Are we talking about technical standards (the ones developed by ITU, ISO, etc) or 'policy' standards (e.g. principles) or both?
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SO/IEC
ITU, IEEE...
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whether these institutions should be new or evolutions of existing organizations, whether the con-ditions under which these institutions are likely to be most impactful will obtain,
But aren't these essential questions if all this is to work?
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A failure to coordinate or harmonizeregulation may also slow innovation.
A cynical question: Is this coming from a commercial interest angle, then?
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URL
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- Jun 2023
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dig.watch dig.watch
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My worst fears are that we cause significant, we, the field, the technology, the industry cause significant harm to the world. I think that could happen in a lot of different ways. It’s why we started the company
why exactly?
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worry that as the models get better and better the users can have sort of less and less of their own discriminating thought process around it. But, but I think users are more capable than we give often, give them credit for in, in conversations like this.
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but also the genome project
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to us as the American people to write the answer
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t’s really like the invention of the internet in scale, at least, and potentially far, far more significant than that
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- May 2023
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www.devex.com www.devex.com
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in the text such as multistakeholders and networked-multilateralism
Also in the GDC policy brief, where we have a combination of MSH, tripartite, networked cooperation.
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- Feb 2023
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arstechnica.com arstechnica.com
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2017: ESA announces its astronauts will train along Chinese one, with the overall goal of having European sent to China's space station. Jan 2023: ESA: "For the moment we have neither the budgetary nor the political, let’s say, green light or intention to engage in a second space station—that is participating on the Chinese space station"
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European space officials like the Artemis program and are seeking areas for greater involvement. This is drawing them closer to NASA.
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However, the more significant reason is probably a political one
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anuary, Josef Aschbacher, director general of the European Space Agency, said his focus remains on the International Space Station Partnership with NASA, Russia, Canada, and Japan. "For the moment we have neither the budgetary nor the political, let’s say, green light or intention to engage in a second space station—that is participating on the Chinese space station,"
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Nearly six years ago the European Space Agency surprised its longtime spaceflight partners at NASA, as well as diplomatic officials at the White House, with an announcement that some of its astronauts were training alongside Chinese astronauts. The goal was to send European astronauts to China's Tiangong space station by 2022.
2017: ESA announces its astronauts will train along Chinese one, with the overall goal of having European sent to China's space station.
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www.science.org www.science.org
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A new study argues that the boundary between Earth's atmosphere and outer space—known as the Kármán line—is 20 kilometers, or about 20%, closer than scientists thought
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Until now, most scientists have said that outer space is 100 kilometers away.
Earth atmosphere - space boundary (Karman line): was thought to be at 100 km. Now scientists say it may be 20 km closer.
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World Air Sports Federation (FAI) in Lausanne, Switzerland, the keeper of outer space records
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qz.com qz.com
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A country’s sovereign airspace theoretically extends to the (disputed) boundary with space.
state sovereignty in space
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More serious challenges for balloons might be regulatory and political.
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This kind of technology could eventually be a threat—or a complement—to existing space data businesses.
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The benefits include higher resolution imagery: World View’s investor presentation claims sensor resolutions of 3 to 5 centimeters per pixel, compared to the 50 cm per pixel resolution that is top of line in space-based Earth observation. The balloons also offer more persistent monitoring by floating above one location for weeks at a time, whereas Earth observation satellites can typically gather data a few times a day at most. World View already has a partnership with Maxar, a leading satellite firm with an extensive remote-sensing business.
High-altitude ballons vs Earth observations satellites
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qz.com qz.com
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Axiom, a space company that flies passengers to the International Space Station and is developing its own space station, said this week that most of the demand for passenger services is coming from governments without their own space programs, not tourists with deep pockets.
Axiom - private company flying passengers to ISS. Also building own space station.
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the project is still on the drawing board, with hopes to finalize its design by 2025. The goal is to fly the vehicle in 2027—but, as with most space technology forecasts, that’s an optimistic projection.
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The US has only put a nuclear reactor in space once before, through an Air Force program called SNAPSHOT.
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But the dream of space fanatics is a proper nuclear rocket, one using a fission reactor to run an engine two to three times more powerful than any motor dependent on combusting fossil fuels. Launched into space on a conventional rocket, it could shorten trips to Mars or give the Space Force unprecedented maneuverability. Last week, NASA and DARPA, the US military’s advanced tech lab, announced a collaborative project called DRACO to build and test exactly such a vehicle.
towards a 'nuclear space rocket'
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Deep space missions regularly rely on nuclear power, using the heat emitted by radioactive substances to generate electricity without an atom-splitting chain reaction. NASA’s Perseverance rover, currently exploring the surface of Mars, is powered by one of these devices.
Deep space missions relying on nuclear power
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OpenAI announced they've "trained a classifier to distinguish between text written by a human and text written by AIs from a variety of providers". Saying it is not 'fully reliable": correctly identifies 26% of AI-written text (true positives) as “likely AI-written,” while incorrectly labeling human-written text as AI-written 9% of the time (false positives).
||JovanNj|| ||Jovan||
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- Jan 2023
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qz.com qz.com
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Asteroid miners prepare for launch. AstroForge, which wants to pluck platinum-group metals from near-Earth objects, plans to launch a payload in April that will demonstrate the ability to mine metals in space. The company also expects to launch another spacecraft onboard Intuitive Machines’ lunar mission later this year that will fly to a target asteroid and assess its viability for future mining.
Asteroid mining missions (private) to launch in 2023.
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www.bmz.de www.bmz.de
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Germany's new strategy for Africa (just launched).
A few points on digital:
- Digital transformation among the focus areas for development cooperation (although in the same basket with employment, fair trade, and migration)
- Support for AfCFTA
- Mobilise investment in digital infra
- Support for the digital economy. Specifically, support for: enhancing economic and political frameworks; creating digital markets; enabling secure, universal internet access and bridging digital divides; fostering legal standards and data privacy regulations.
- stimulate the creation of ICT jobs
- Support the digitalisation of healthcare
- Supporting women's economic participation, including through providing training for women with a special focus on digital expertise.
- Supporting the digitalisation of the public sector and the use of digital tech to strengthen political participation
Update published on DW and Diplo:
||mwendenATdiplomacy.edu|| FYI
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training for women, with a special focus on digital expertise.
Supporting women's economic participation, including through providing training for women with a special focus on digital expertise.
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The focus is to be increasingly on software solutions (digital health),
Support the digitalisation of healthcare
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stimulating the creation of jobs offering decent working conditions. It fo-cuses in particular on the promising industries of the future, such as information and communica-tion technologies (ICT),
stimulating the creation of ICT jobs
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Support digitalisation of the African economyThe BMZ aims to effectively support the rapidly developing digital economy, for example through the Make-IT in Africa initiative, the establishment of digicentres and activities to assist African initiatives including the Smart Africa Alliance. It helps African partner countries to enhance the economic and political framework for digital transformation, to create digital markets, provide secure, universal internet access and bridge the “digital divide” within the population. It is also fostering legal standards and data privacy regulations, for example through Team Europe Initiatives such as the African European Digital Innovation Bridge Network and the EU-AU Data Flagship
Support for the digital economy. Specifically, support for: enhancing economic and political frameworks; creating digital markets; enabling secure, universal internet access and bridging digital divides; fostering legal standards and data privacy regulations.
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digital infrastructure and health infrastructure, the BMZ aims to mobilise invest-ment –
Mobile investment in digital infra
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Support the AfCFTA and ensure trade agreements are pro-development
Support for AfCFTA
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German development policy faces the challenge of finding differentiated and flexible responses that take account of the fact that African states have their own interests, and that each state has its own view of the world and its own vision of the best economic, political and social order.
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digital transformation
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www.whitehouse.gov www.whitehouse.gov
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TITLE: US government launches Digital Transformation with Africa
TEXT: The US government has launched a Digital Transformation with Africa (DTA) initiative dedicated to 'expand[ing] digital access and literacy and strengthen[ing] digital enabling environments across the continent'. The USA plans to dedicate over US$350 million to this initiative, which is expected to support the implementation of both the African Union's Digital Transformation Strategy and the US Strategy Towards Sub-Saharan Africa. DTA's objectives revolve around three pillars:
- Digital economy and infrastructure: (a) expanding access to an open, interoperable, reliable, and secure internet; (b) expanding access to key enabling digital technologies, platforms, and services and scale the African technology and innovation ecosystem; (c) facilitating investment, trade, and partnerships in Africa’s digital economy.
- Human capital development: (a) facilitating inclusive access to digital skills and literacy, particularly for youth and women; (b) fostering inclusive participation in the digital economy; (c) strengthening the capacity of public sector employees to deliver digital services.
- Digital enabling environment: (a) strengthening the capacities of authorities and regulators to develop, implement, and enforce sound policies and regulations; (b) supporting policies and regulations that promote competition, innovation, and investment; (c) promoting governance that strengthens and sustains an open, interoperable, reliable, and secure digital ecosystem.
Date: 14 December 2022
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Pillar 2: Human Capital Development
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Pillar 1: Digital Economy and Infrastructure
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DTA will foster an inclusive and resilient African digital ecosystem, led by African communities and built on an open, interoperable, reliable, and secure internet
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invest over $350 million and facilitate over $450 million in financing for Africa
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curator.diplomacy.edu curator.diplomacy.edu
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That seems likely to change in the next few weeks, when an uncrewed lander becomes the first commercial vehicle to touch down on the Moon
private sector making its way into Moon missions/exploration
- 1 JP and 2 US private-led missions underway or planned
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The Outer Space Treaty of 1967, space law’s foundational text, is showing its age. It dates back to the era when only governments had access to space. And it states that no claims of sovereignty can be made, on the Moon or elsewhere. Efforts to update the treaty to establish rules around resource extraction have run into the lunar regolith. America has refused to sign the Moon Agreement, adopted by 18 countries in 1984, whereas China and Russia have rejected America’s latest proposal, the Artemis accords of 2020.
existing governance frameworks for moon/space resource exploration; fragmentation
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