So 'controlling dangerous inputs' is actually about preventing non-friendly countries to access/develop the tech?

2017: ESA announces its astronauts will train along Chinese one, with the overall goal of having European sent to China's space station. Jan 2023: ESA: "For the moment we have neither the budgetary nor the political, let’s say, green light or intention to engage in a second space station—that is participating on the Chinese space station"

||Jovan|| nakon naseg razgovora, mislim da je ovo interesantno za istrzivanje cybersecurity i geopolitike

Text on digital gepolitics

China - USA relations

In 2022, EU will need to define what 'strategic autonomy' means.

In economic field, it will be much easier. It means more reliance of domestic production as supply-chains become fragile or high dependence, on let say, micrhchips.

In defense and security field, defining strategic autonomy will be much more difficult as Eastern European countries will oppose any lowering of influence of the USA and NATO on the expense of development of EU security as France will be arguing for.

France will try to impose its importance and role, especially during the presidency during the first half of 2022.

Ultimately, the key for EU's strategic autonomy will be solidity of EU's economy which has been always EU's strategic asset.

in 2022, China and USA will compete for dominance of their system. Who will win will be decided by:

• success or failure of China approach of 'Zero COVID' or western approach 'to live with COVID).
• dealing with huge power of tech companies: will it be resolved by government intervention (China) or market solutions (emergence of new companies as it is hopped in the USA).
• China is facing bigger challenges with failure of Evergrande, a huge real-estabe developer. The Economist argue that that the rise of China's GDP will shrink to 5% getting closer to raise of the USA GDP.

As they fight for dominance of their respective economic and policy models, they may cooperate on issues such as trade and technology, cyber-security, clean-technology, etc.

However, it is not very likely that they will cooperate given the local pressure ahead of the US elections and internal instabilities in China.

However, a good news is that military confrontation between China and USA is not likely to happen in 2022.

This is on changing geo-political enviornment (first pillar of our methodology)

Use of diplomacy - not necessary military to answer these challengs